- The Blue Jays are -125 favorites vs the Royals
- Blue Jays vs Royals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Blue Jays / Royals TV Channel: BSKC | RSN1
The Toronto Blue Jays (-125) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+105) on Tuesday, April 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Blue Jays are 13-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 13-10 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 0-2, 8.17 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 1-2, 3.75 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Blue Jays | -1.5 +135 | O 8 +100 | -125 |
Royals | +1.5 -160 | U 8 -120 | +105 |
Blue Jays vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kevin Kiermaier has hit the Singles Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- Kevin Kiermaier has hit the Hits Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+0.55 Units / 8% ROI)
- Kevin Kiermaier has hit the Total Bases Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+0.45 Units / 7% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 66% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.75 Units / 50% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.55 Units / 69% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Singles Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.40 Units / 29% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 78 of their last 139 games (+11.74 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 away games (+7.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 41 away games (+2.20 Units / 4% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 games at home (+14.97 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+14.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+11.08 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 13-10 against the Run Line (+0.85 Units / 2.64% ROI).
- 13-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.95 Units / 6.81% ROI
- 10-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.55 Units / -17.91% ROI
- 13-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.75 Units / 6.93% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 13-10 against the Run Line (+0.15 Units / 0.49% ROI).
- 13-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.25 Units / 11.46% ROI
- 8-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.8 Units / -30% ROI
- 14-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.4 Units / 21.82% ROI
Royals vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -800 |
Royals vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Royals vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Royals vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kevin Gausman has a strikeout rate of 34% (204 SO in 594 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 52% (13/25) against Kevin Gausman on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of 36% (506/1,403) against Kevin Gausman since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has a strikeout rate of 34% (107 SO in 315 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 97th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Wacha has allowed a slugging percentage of just .114 (4 Total Bases / 35 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .365 — 100th Percentile.
Michael Wacha has allowed an OBP of just .139 (36 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among in MLB; League Avg: .283 — 100th Percentile.
Michael Wacha has allowed an OBP of just .139 (36 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 100th Percentile.
Michael Wacha has allowed an OPS of just .253 (36 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .657 — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Blue Jays are 21-10 (.677) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are 71-115 (.382) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .280.
The Blue Jays are 78-31 (.716) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Blue Jays are 21-15 (.583) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Royals are just 18-14 (.562) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .792.
The Royals are just 13-85 (.133) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.
The Royals are just 9-44 (.170) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .384.
The Royals are just 3-11 (.214) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 541 strikeouts in 2,811 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 27 strikeouts in 167 PA’s (16%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting .271 against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Blue Jays hitters have just 295 strikeouts in 1,572 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .280 (3,290 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Royals have won just 52% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Royals have won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Blue Jays pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .284 against Royals pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
The Royals have won just 19% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Royals vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
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