- The Phillies are -135 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers vs Phillies Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Brewers / Phillies TV Channel: NSPA | FDWI | MLBN
The Milwaukee Brewers (+115) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-135) on Friday, May 30, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Brewers are 29-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 30-26 ATS.
Brewers vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: DL Hall 1-0, 3.86 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker 2-3, 2.95 ERA
Brewers vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -190 | O 9.5 -105 | +115 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +155 | U 9.5 -115 | -135 |
Brewers vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s MLB game with 56.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+14.25 Units / 51% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+11.45 Units / 48% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Walks Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+8.40 Units / 140% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.30 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryson Stott has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+12.25 Units / 53% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Walks Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+8.90 Units / 19% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 53 games (+10.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 53 games (+8.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 53 games (+8.35 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.15 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.25 Units / 39% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 30 games (+12.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 38 games (+9.40 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 52 games (+6.58 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+6.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 56 games (+5.64 Units / 8% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 28-28 against the Run Line (-4.9 Units / -6.33% ROI).
- 29-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.1 Units / -0.15% ROI
- 22-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.55 Units / -21.46% ROI
- 32-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.85 Units / 12.59% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 30-26 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 1.4% ROI).
- 36-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.8 Units / 9.37% ROI
- 25-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.85 Units / -12.72% ROI
- 30-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.75 Units / 4.47% ROI
Phillies vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Phillies vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Bryson Stott (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Sal Frelick (MIL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Caleb Durbin (MIL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Phillies vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
Phillies vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Taijuan Walker (PHI) | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -120 |
| DL Hall (MIL) | 2.5 +145 | 2.5 -190 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
DL Hall has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 7.2 innings pitched — Andres Munoz has the longest active streak at 30.2.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 44% (8/18) against DL Hall over the past seven days (1 game) — tied for 3rd highest in NL over the last week; League Avg: 27% — 97th Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of just 17% (107/611) against Taijuan Walker in 2023 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.
Taijuan Walker allowed an OPS of .977 (382 PA’s) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .709 — 0 Percentile.
Taijuan Walker had a strike rate of just 61% (1,722/2,837) in 2023 — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.
Taijuan Walker had a strike rate of just 58% (457/788) in two strike counts in 2023 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Brewers are just 3-15 (.167) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .373.
The Brewers are 17-8 (.680) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers were 74-4 (.949) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Brewers are 118-94 (.557) after a win since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .507.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Phillies are 8-14 (.364) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .132.
The Phillies are 14-137 (.093) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Phillies are 2-17 (.105) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .041.
The Phillies are 20-61 (.247) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .343 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Brewers hitters came to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,726 of their 6,170 plate appearances (28%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies batted .307 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .338 (1,485 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Phillies are batting .409 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .340.
The Phillies are batting .292 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .261.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 55% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 52% of the time since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 57% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Brewers pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Phillies have won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Phillies pitchers have won 48% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
More MLB Reading:
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