- The Cardinals are -155 favorites vs the Marlins
- Cardinals vs Marlins Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Cardinals / Marlins TV Channel: BSFL | BSMW
The St. Louis Cardinals (-155) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+130) on Monday, June 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Cardinals are 35-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 28-43 ATS.
Cardinals vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 8-4, 3.02 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Braxton Garrett 2-2, 6.17 ERA
Cardinals vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +110 | O 7 +100 | -155 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -135 | U 7 -120 | +130 |
Cardinals vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Monday‘s MLB game with 59.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 23 away games (+20.90 Units / 91% ROI)
- Ivan Herrera has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 16 away games (+10.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 29 games (+10.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+9.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 38 of his last 48 games (+20.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 49 games (+13.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+10.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+10.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+9.90 Units / 17% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.50 Units / 47% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 62 games (+4.60 Units / 6% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 56 games (+3.55 Units / 5% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 66 games (+14.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 37 games at home (+13.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games (+9.15 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 games at home (+1.20 Units / 6% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 36-34 against the Run Line (-1.95 Units / -2.08% ROI).
- 35-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.7 Units / -6.71% ROI
- 27-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.8 Units / -19.47% ROI
- 38-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.5 Units / 11.19% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 28-43 against the Run Line (-29.26 Units / -29.95% ROI).
- 23-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.4 Units / -29.36% ROI
- 37-33 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.3 Units / 1.67% ROI
- 33-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.3 Units / -9.33% ROI
Marlins vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Marlins vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Otto Lopez (MIA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Marlins vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Marlins vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sonny Gray (STL) | 6.5 -130 | 6.5 +100 |
| Braxton Garrett (MIA) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .104 (29-for-280) against Sonny Gray on sliders since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: .228 — 100th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has a strikeout rate of 43% (27 SO in 63 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 39% (66/169) against Sonny Gray this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has allowed an OPS of just .419 (478 PA’s) on non-fastballs since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: .653 — 100th Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Braxton Garrett has thrown inside pitches 47% of the time (417/879) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Braxton Garrett has walked 5 of 168 batters (3%) with runners in scoring position since last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 97th Percentile.
Braxton Garrett has walked 33 of 796 batters (4%) since last season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 97th Percentile.
Braxton Garrett has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 36% (10/28) of opposing batters this month (2 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Cardinals are 31-13 (.705) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 2-17 (.105) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .373.
The Cardinals are just 18-30 (.375) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .579.
The Cardinals are just 9-95 (.087) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Marlins are just 7-8 (.467) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .757.
The Marlins are just 1-24 (.040) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Marlins are just 4-9 (.308) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .702.
The Marlins are just 20-16 (.556) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .719.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .613 (787 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Cardinals are batting just .216 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .683 (2,347 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .731.
Cardinals hitters have grounded into 27 double plays in 471 opportunities (6%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .400 (1,307 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .505.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .581 (892 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .200 (1,307 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .553 (820 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .685.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have won only 7% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Marlins have won just 5% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Marlins vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Josh Simpson (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Xavier Edwards (Miami Marlins): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Huascar Brazoban (Miami Marlins): Personal, Out
- Victor Mesa (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Edward Cabrera (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- JT Chargois (Miami Marlins): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
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