- The Cardinals are -150 favorites vs the Marlins
- Cardinals vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Cardinals / Marlins TV Channel: BSFL | BSMW
The St. Louis Cardinals (-150) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+125) on Tuesday, June 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Cardinals are 36-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 29-43 ATS.
Cardinals vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Lance Lynn 2-3, 3.71 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Roddery Munoz 1-2, 4.56 ERA
Cardinals vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +110 | O 8 -105 | -150 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -130 | U 8 -115 | +125 |
Cardinals vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 59.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 23 away games (+20.90 Units / 91% ROI)
- Ivan Herrera has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 17 away games (+11.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 29 games (+10.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 49 games (+21.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 50 games (+14.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+13.50 Units / 225% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games at home (+11.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 24 games (+9.35 Units / 35% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+5.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 57 games (+4.55 Units / 6% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.10 Units / 57% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 38 games at home (+14.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 67 games (+12.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 54 games (+10.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 21 games at home (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 36-35 against the Run Line (-2.95 Units / -3.11% ROI).
- 36-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.7 Units / -5.44% ROI
- 28-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.8 Units / -17.89% ROI
- 38-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.45 Units / 9.68% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 29-43 against the Run Line (-28.26 Units / -28.53% ROI).
- 23-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.4 Units / -30.27% ROI
- 38-33 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.3 Units / 2.91% ROI
- 33-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.35 Units / -10.53% ROI
Marlins vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Matt Carpenter (STL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Marlins vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Otto Lopez (MIA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Marlins vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
Marlins vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Roddery Munoz (MIA) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
| Lance Lynn (STL) | 5.5 +135 | 5.5 -175 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lance Lynn has allowed an OBP of .346 (413 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — ninth Percentile.
Lance Lynn has allowed an OPS of .818 (414 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .681 — sixth Percentile.
Lance Lynn has allowed 51 home runs since last season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Lance Lynn has located his pitches away 58% of the time (718/1,239) this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted just .059 (1-for-17) against Roddery Munoz — 3rd best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .237 — 98th Percentile.
Roddery Munoz allowed an OPS of just .217 (19 PA’s) — 5th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .679 — 96th Percentile.
Roddery Munoz had a strike rate of just 60% (49/81) — tied for 13th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — 13th Percentile.
Roddery Munoz has allowed a slugging percentage of .500 (11 Total Bases / 22 ABs) with two-strikes this month (2 games) — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .284 — seventh Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Cardinals are just 2-17 (.105) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .371.
The Cardinals are just 6-107 (.053) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Cardinals are just 9-95 (.087) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Cardinals are 32-13 (.711) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Marlins are just 4-9 (.308) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.
The Marlins are just 7-8 (.467) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .757.
The Marlins are just 7-18 (.280) after a home loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Marlins are just 1-25 (.038) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting just .216 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Cardinals are batting just .235 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .376 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .614 (823 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .199 (1,321 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Marlins hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .399 (1,321 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .505.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .588 (896 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins pitchers have won only 0% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Marlins vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Josh Simpson (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Xavier Edwards (Miami Marlins): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Huascar Brazoban (Miami Marlins): Personal, Out
- Victor Mesa (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Edward Cabrera (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- JT Chargois (Miami Marlins): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
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