- The Cardinals are -110 favorites vs the Padres
- Cardinals / Padres TV Channel: BSMW | PDTV | ESPN+
The St. Louis Cardinals (-110) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-110) on Monday, April 1, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Cardinals are 1-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 3-3 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +155 | O 8.5 -115 | -110 |
| Padres | +1.5 -190 | U 8.5 -105 | -110 |
Cardinals vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Monday‘s game with 55.3% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jordan Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 17 away games (+8.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.85 Units / 55% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 10 away games (+7.55 Units / 65% ROI)
- Dakota Hudson has hit the Strikeouts Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.55 Units / 53% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 37 games (+20.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 32 games (+16.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- Blake Snell has hit the Earned Runs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+15.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 32 games (+14.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 32 games (+13.50 Units / 23% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 away games (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+9.13 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 79 away games (+8.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+5.85 Units / 38% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 155 games (+17.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 55 games at home (+12.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 2-2 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -25% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 23.53% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.15 Units / -25.27% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 3-3 against the Run Line (+0.97 Units / 15.67% ROI).
- 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.04 Units / 0.54% ROI
- 5-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.87 Units / 56.66% ROI
- 1-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.5 Units / -69.02% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted .205 (71-for-346) against Kyle Gibson with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — sixth Percentile.
Kyle Gibson had a strike rate of just 59% (480/815) in two strike counts in the 2023 season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — eighth Percentile.
Kyle Gibson had a strike rate of just 55% (584/1,066) when behind in the count in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents batted .270 (198-for-732) against Kyle Gibson in the 2023 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — sixth Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matt Waldron has allowed at least one HR in each of his last eight games dating back to June 24th, 2023 — tied with Freddy Peralta for the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Cardinals were just 4-70 (.054) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Cardinals are 27-10 (.730) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .497.
The Cardinals are just 45-46 (.495) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .593.
The Cardinals were just 71-91 (.438) in 2023 — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Padres were just 2-13 (.133) after a win as underdogs in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .430.
The Padres are just 6-123 (.047) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .092.
The Padres are 50-7 (.877) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Padres are just 15-28 (.349) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging .231 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Cardinals are batting .250 with two outs since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .237.
The Cardinals won only 43% of their home games in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .259 (6,523 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters had an OPS of .808 (1,699 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .742.
The Padres batted .271 against LHP in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Padres hitters have just 754 strikeouts in 3,588 PA’s (21%) against LHP since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Padres hitters drew 494 walks in 4,481 PA’s (11%) against RHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,921 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .196 against Padres pitchers with the shift in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 45% against Padres pitchers in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 37% against the Padres pitchers in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Padres vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Glenn Otto (San Diego Padres): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
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