- The Diamondbacks are +100 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Diamondbacks vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Blue Jays TV Channel: DBTV | RSN1
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+100) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-120) on Tuesday, June 17, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 36-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 44-27 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 8-4, 5.56 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt 7-3, 3.72 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +165 | O 9 -130 | +100 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -200 | U 9 +100 | -120 |
Diamondbacks vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+16.95 Units / 212% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+14.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Pavin Smith has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+7.30 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Addison Barger has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+23.90 Units / 478% ROI)
- Ernie Clement has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+9.65 Units / 56% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+9.55 Units / 106% ROI)
- Ernie Clement has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- Chris Bassitt has hit the Strikeouts Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+8.60 Units / 44% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 55 games (+14.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 55 games (+13.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 away games (+5.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.45 Units / 23% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 70 games (+13.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 39 games (+11.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.99 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games at home (+6.85 Units / 17% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 33-38 against the Run Line (-9.06 Units / -10.05% ROI).
- 36-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.7 Units / -7.89% ROI
- 34-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.55 Units / -3.24% ROI
- 33-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.05 Units / -5.23% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 44-27 against the Run Line (+12.5 Units / 12.29% ROI).
- 38-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.79 Units / 5.77% ROI
- 37-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.15 Units / 2.76% ROI
- 32-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.55 Units / -10.9% ROI
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Addison Barger (TOR) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Addison Barger (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Andres Gimenez (TOR) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Josh Naylor (ARI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Addison Barger (TOR) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +125 |
| Chris Bassitt (TOR) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Pfaadt has allowed an OPS of .777 (164 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .478 — first Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt has allowed a slugging percentage of .466 (68 Total Bases / 146 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .248 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .288 (82-for-285) against Brandon Pfaadt this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — third Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 35% (52/147) against Brandon Pfaadt this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Bassitt has allowed an OBP of .340 (1,102 PA’s) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .296 — second Percentile.
Chris Bassitt allowed an OBP of .352 (756 PA’s) in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .296 — first Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has allowed a slugging percentage of .514 (36 Total Bases / 70 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — first Percentile.
Chris Bassitt allowed an OBP of .414 (278 PA’s) versus the top of the order in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .314 — first Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Diamondbacks are 96-24 (.793) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
The Diamondbacks were 5-59 (.077) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Diamondbacks are just 179-14 (.927) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Diamondbacks were 67-15 (.807) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Blue Jays were just 6-73 (.076) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Blue Jays are just 95-9 (.913) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Blue Jays are 32-20 (.615) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Blue Jays are 14-7 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .810 (1,978 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .345 (4,522 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .472 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting just .274 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters slugged just .349 against LHP in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Diamondbacks pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 47% of the time since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games on the road since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.6 MPH since the 2023 season (10,180 balls in play) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after their offense scores since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
More MLB Reading:
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