- The Diamondbacks are -210 favorites vs the Marlins
- Diamondbacks vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Marlins TV Channel: DBTV | BSFL | MLBN
The Arizona Diamondbacks (-210) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+170) on Monday, August 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 69-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 58-66 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 7-6, 3.98 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 -125 | O 8 -110 | -210 |
| Marlins | +1.5 +105 | U 8 -110 | +170 |
Diamondbacks vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Monday‘s MLB game with 64.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ketel Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 away games (+32.80 Units / 328% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Over in 25 of his last 43 games (+19.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 44 games (+17.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 34 games (+15.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 44 games (+13.30 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jake Burger has hit the Home Runs Over in 17 of his last 42 games (+45.00 Units / 107% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 34 games (+21.25 Units / 54% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 42 games (+21.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 30 of his last 41 games (+18.35 Units / 38% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 38 games (+18.15 Units / 32% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 69 games (+21.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 68 games (+18.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 60 games (+7.15 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.30 Units / 17% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 63 games at home (+26.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 32 games (+17.25 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 29 games (+10.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 26 games at home (+9.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 29 games (+7.90 Units / 25% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 62-63 against the Run Line (-7.25 Units / -4.39% ROI).
- 69-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +9 Units / 5.68% ROI
- 68-52 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.25 Units / 7.4% ROI
- 52-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.65 Units / -16.56% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 58-66 against the Run Line (-26.61 Units / -16.45% ROI).
- 46-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.5 Units / -12.67% ROI
- 68-52 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.5 Units / 8.39% ROI
- 52-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.65 Units / -15.94% ROI
Marlins vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Josh Bell (ARI) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Marlins vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jake McCarthy (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Josh Bell (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Marlins vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Josh Bell (ARI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jake McCarthy (ARI) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .179 (26-for-145) against Eduardo Rodriguez on low fastballs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 178 total IP; League Avg: .274 — 99th Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez has an ERA of 1.52 (65.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: 4.14 — 100th Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .214 (18 Total Bases / 84 ABs) on low fastballs since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: .420 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .167 (14-for-84) against Eduardo Rodriguez on low fastballs since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: .273 — 100th Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Edward Cabrera has walked 101 of 696 batters (14%) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.
Edward Cabrera has walked 30 of 170 batters (18%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Edward Cabrera has walked 61 of 377 batters (16%) versus the top of the order since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 178 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.
Edward Cabrera has walked 89 of 646 batters (14%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 178 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Diamondbacks are just 172-29 (.856) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .904.
The Diamondbacks are 16-13 (.552) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .354.
The Diamondbacks are 20-14 (.588) after a loss as underdogs this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .436.
The Diamondbacks are 119-29 (.799) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Marlins are just 3-4 (.429) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .809.
The Marlins are just 15-16 (.484) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .758.
The Marlins are just 25-12 (.676) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.
The Marlins are just 27-15 (.643) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .803.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .280 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Diamondbacks hitters have just 644 strikeouts in 3,247 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .344 (2,381 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Diamondbacks have scored first in 64% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have 743 extra-base hits out of 2,413 total hits (just 31%) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .212 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Marlins have a winning percentage of just 38% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 37% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have won only 9% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Peyton Burdick (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dane Myers (Miami Marlins): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Sixto Sanchez (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Ryan Weathers (Miami Marlins): Finger, 60-Day IL
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jesus Luzardo (Miami Marlins): Back, 60-Day IL
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Merrill Kelly (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Nelson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, 7-Day IL
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Andrew Saalfrank (Arizona Diamondbacks): Suspension, Suspension
- Blake Walston (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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