- The Diamondbacks are -150 favorites vs the Marlins
- Diamondbacks vs Marlins Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Marlins TV Channel: DBTV | BSFL
The Arizona Diamondbacks (-150) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+125) on Tuesday, August 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 70-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 58-67 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez 1-0, 5.07 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Edward Cabrera 2-4, 5.84 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +105 | O 7.5 -105 | -150 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -130 | U 7.5 -115 | +125 |
Diamondbacks vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 59.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Bell has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 23 games (+26.70 Units / 116% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Over in 25 of his last 44 games (+18.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 45 games (+16.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 45 games (+14.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+13.85 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jake Burger has hit the Home Runs Over in 17 of his last 43 games (+44.00 Units / 102% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 43 games (+20.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 35 games (+19.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 31 of his last 42 games (+19.35 Units / 39% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 39 games (+16.10 Units / 28% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 70 games (+22.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 69 games (+19.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 61 games (+8.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+1.25 Units / 7% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 64 games at home (+27.50 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 33 games (+18.25 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 27 games at home (+10.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 30 games (+9.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games (+6.90 Units / 21% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 63-63 against the Run Line (-6.25 Units / -3.76% ROI).
- 70-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +10 Units / 6.23% ROI
- 69-52 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.25 Units / 8.06% ROI
- 52-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -23.75 Units / -17.23% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 58-67 against the Run Line (-27.61 Units / -16.96% ROI).
- 46-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.5 Units / -13.34% ROI
- 69-52 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.5 Units / 9.05% ROI
- 52-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.75 Units / -16.61% ROI
Marlins vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Josh Bell (ARI) | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -1200 |
Marlins vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Otto Lopez (MIA) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jake McCarthy (ARI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Josh Bell (ARI) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Marlins vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Josh Bell (ARI) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Marlins vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Edward Cabrera (MIA) | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
| Eduardo Rodriguez (ARI) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Eduardo Rodriguez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .214 (18 Total Bases / 84 ABs) on low fastballs since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: .421 — 100th Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez has a strikeout rate of just 11% (2 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for 4th lowest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 25% — 11th Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez has walked 2 of 18 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for 4th highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — 27th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .167 (14-for-84) against Eduardo Rodriguez on low fastballs since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: .273 — 100th Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Edward Cabrera has walked 5 of 27 batters (18%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.
Edward Cabrera has walked 101 of 696 batters (14%) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.
Edward Cabrera has walked 61 of 377 batters (16%) versus the top of the order since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 179 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.
Edward Cabrera has walked 38 of 244 batters (16%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 179 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Diamondbacks are 16-13 (.552) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .354.
The Diamondbacks are just 191-18 (.914) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Diamondbacks are just 173-29 (.856) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .904.
The Diamondbacks are 9-113 (.073) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Marlins are just 15-17 (.469) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .757.
The Marlins are just 3-4 (.429) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .808.
The Marlins are just 3-30 (.091) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.
The Marlins are just 25-12 (.676) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .280 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
26% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Diamondbacks are batting .265 against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .264 (5,669 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have drawn 198 walks in 3,174 PA’s (6%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Marlins have a winning percentage of just 37% this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .286 (1,454 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have won only 9% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins pitchers have won only 4% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.02 (597.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.97.
Marlins vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Peyton Burdick (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dane Myers (Miami Marlins): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Sixto Sanchez (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Ryan Weathers (Miami Marlins): Finger, 60-Day IL
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jesus Luzardo (Miami Marlins): Back, 60-Day IL
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Merrill Kelly (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Nelson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, 7-Day IL
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Andrew Saalfrank (Arizona Diamondbacks): Suspension, Suspension
- Blake Walston (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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