- The Diamondbacks are -165 favorites vs the Marlins
- Diamondbacks vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Marlins TV Channel: DBTV | BSFL
The Arizona Diamondbacks (-165) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+140) on Wednesday, August 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 71-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 58-68 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery 8-6, 6.30 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Roddery Munoz 2-7, 5.86 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 -105 | O 8.5 +100 | -165 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -115 | U 8.5 -120 | +140 |
Diamondbacks vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 61.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 away games (+26.00 Units / 433% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Over in 25 of his last 45 games (+17.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 46 games (+14.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 36 games (+12.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 46 games (+12.75 Units / 17% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jake Burger has hit the Home Runs Over in 17 of his last 44 games (+43.00 Units / 98% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 36 games (+20.40 Units / 48% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 32 of his last 43 games (+20.35 Units / 40% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 44 games (+19.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 40 games (+17.10 Units / 29% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 71 games (+21.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 70 games (+20.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 62 games (+9.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+2.25 Units / 12% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 65 games at home (+26.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 34 games (+17.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games at home (+9.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 31 games (+8.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 31 games (+5.50 Units / 18% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 64-63 against the Run Line (-4.9 Units / -2.93% ROI).
- 71-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +11 Units / 6.79% ROI
- 69-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.2 Units / 7.25% ROI
- 53-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.75 Units / -16.37% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 58-68 against the Run Line (-29.21 Units / -17.77% ROI).
- 46-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.5 Units / -13.99% ROI
- 69-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.45 Units / 8.23% ROI
- 53-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.75 Units / -15.75% ROI
Marlins vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Josh Bell (ARI) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Marlins vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake McCarthy (ARI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Otto Lopez (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Josh Bell (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Marlins vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Josh Bell (ARI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Marlins vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Roddery Munoz (MIA) | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +130 |
| Jordan Montgomery (ARI) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -105 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryne Nelson has a strike rate of 74% (142/191) over the last 14 days — highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has a strike rate of 74% (142/191) in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 58% of Ryne Nelson’s pitches (110/191) over the last 14 days — highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 47% (34/72) against Ryne Nelson on the first pitch of at-bats this month (3 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Roddery Munoz has allowed a slugging percentage of .533 (162 Total Bases / 304 ABs) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .404 — first Percentile.
Roddery Munoz has allowed an OPS of .922 (104 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .649 — 0 Percentile.
Roddery Munoz has allowed a slugging percentage of .567 (72 Total Bases / 127 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .404 — fourth Percentile.
Roddery Munoz has walked 38 of 350 batters (11%) this season — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 7% — sixth Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Diamondbacks are 15-6 (.714) after a home loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .531.
The Diamondbacks are 9-113 (.073) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Diamondbacks are just 129-12 (.915) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Diamondbacks are 120-29 (.800) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Marlins are just 3-5 (.375) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .806.
The Marlins are just 15-17 (.469) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .758.
The Marlins are just 13-17 (.433) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .646.
The Marlins are just 3-31 (.088) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
26% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Diamondbacks are batting .282 against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Diamondbacks are batting .279 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Diamondbacks have scored first in 72% of their games against division opponents this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .297 (4,188 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Marlins are just 3-5 (.375) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .806.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .346 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .286 (1,483 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 28% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Marlins pitchers this season traveled 518.2 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 465.7
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 4.99 (606.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.97.
The Marlins have allowed 5.69 runs per game (370/65) at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.40.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Peyton Burdick (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dane Myers (Miami Marlins): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Sixto Sanchez (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Ryan Weathers (Miami Marlins): Finger, 60-Day IL
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jesus Luzardo (Miami Marlins): Back, 60-Day IL
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Merrill Kelly (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Nelson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, 7-Day IL
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Andrew Saalfrank (Arizona Diamondbacks): Suspension, Suspension
- Blake Walston (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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