- The Dodgers are -200 favorites vs the Marlins
- Dodgers vs Marlins Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Dodgers / Marlins TV Channel: FDFL | SNLA
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-200) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+165) on Monday, May 5, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Dodgers are 23-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 17-16 ATS.
Dodgers vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Ben Casparius 3-0, 2.91 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara 2-3, 8.32 ERA
Dodgers vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 -125 | O 9.5 -118 | -200 |
| Marlins | +1.5 +105 | U 9.5 -102 | +165 |
Dodgers vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 59.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andy Pages has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 away games (+18.10 Units / 201% ROI)
- Max Muncy has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+12.10 Units / 59% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.15 Units / 53% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.30 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+16.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- Connor Norby has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- Matt Mervis has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+10.80 Units / 154% ROI)
- Eric Wagaman has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 20 games (+9.45 Units / 47% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.00 Units / 33% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.15 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.95 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 21 games (+4.80 Units / 21% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games (+9.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 32 games (+7.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.75 Units / 20% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 17-16 against the Run Line (+0.9 Units / 2.2% ROI).
- 23-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.95 Units / 9.09% ROI
- 19-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +3 Units / 5.79% ROI
- 15-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.55 Units / -10.43% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 17-16 against the Run Line (-0.95 Units / -2.28% ROI).
- 13-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.6 Units / -4.66% ROI
- 22-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.5 Units / 17.35% ROI
- 11-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.25 Units / -24.23% ROI
Marlins vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Matt Mervis (MIA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Kyle Stowers (MIA) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Marlins vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Xavier Edwards (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Marlins vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Marlins vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sandy Alcantara (MIA) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -105 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ben Casparius has allowed an OBP of just .160 (50 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .301 — 96th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 27% (7/26) against Ben Casparius this season — 8th lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 46% — 10th Percentile.
Ben Casparius has not walked any of the 22 batters that they have faced with runners in scoring position this season — tied for best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Ben Casparius has walked 4% of batters this season — 6th best among NL Relievers; League Avg: 10% — 94th Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sandy Alcantara had a strike rate of 72% (932/1,301) against right-handed batters in 2023 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Sandy Alcantara has an ERA of 8.31 (26.0 IP)this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 3.96 — second Percentile.
Sandy Alcantara has walked 19% of batters when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Sandy Alcantara had a strike rate of 69% (731/1,055) when behind in the count in 2023 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Dodgers are 186-34 (.845) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Dodgers are 17-4 (.810) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Dodgers are 19-3 (.864) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Dodgers are 75-38 (.664) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Marlins (27th best runs scored) today.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Marlins were just 14-31 (.311) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Mets (seventh best runs scored) today.
The Marlins are just 24-50 (.324) after a win since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Marlins were just 30-51 (.370) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Marlins were just 39-14 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .339 (9,971 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .788 (13,879 PA’s) since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .457 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .691 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Marlins batted .281 against LHP in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Marlins were just 4-17 (.190) against the run line (-61.9% ROI) when slight moneyline favorites (-101 to -149) in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Marlins hitters are averaging just 3.70 pitches per plate appearance this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Dodgers pitchers had an ERA of 3.49 (743.0 IP) at home in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.
Dodgers pitchers walked 454 of 6,018 batters (7%) in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
The Marlins have allowed 7.43 runs per game (104/14) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.51.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 7.53 (118.1 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.38.
The longest HR allowed by the Marlins pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 518.2 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Marlins pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 70% of their games since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
More MLB Reading:
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