- The Dodgers are -200 favorites vs the Marlins
- Dodgers vs Marlins Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Dodgers / Marlins TV Channel: SNLA | BSFL
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-200) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+165) on Tuesday, September 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Dodgers are 89-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 70-80 ATS.
Dodgers vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Bobby Miller 2-4, 8.22 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Darren McCaughan 0-0, 7.06 ERA
Dodgers vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 -135 | O 9.5 -115 | -200 |
| Marlins | +1.5 +110 | U 9.5 -105 | +165 |
Dodgers vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 66.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tommy Edman has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+18.50 Units / 308% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 23 away games (+15.90 Units / 50% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 24 games (+13.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 23 away games (+13.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- Bobby Miller has hit the Earned Runs Over in his last 11 games (+12.25 Units / 96% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jonah Bride has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 41 games (+36.50 Units / 89% ROI)
- Jonah Bride has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 48 games (+15.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+12.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jonah Bride has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 48 games (+10.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- Jonah Bride has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 48 games (+10.30 Units / 14% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 68 games (+16.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 25 games (+6.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 39 games (+6.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 games (+5.45 Units / 9% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 51 of their last 75 games at home (+30.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 36 of their last 58 games (+11.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 38 games at home (+7.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+5.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 games at home (+4.60 Units / 26% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 74-76 against the Run Line (-5.9 Units / -3.32% ROI).
- 89-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.2 Units / -4% ROI
- 81-65 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.55 Units / 5.8% ROI
- 65-81 when betting on the total runs Under for -24.2 Units / -14.61% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 70-80 against the Run Line (-32.56 Units / -16.57% ROI).
- 55-95 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.1 Units / -12.86% ROI
- 79-64 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.05 Units / 5.46% ROI
- 64-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.85 Units / -13.29% ROI
Marlins vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Marlins vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Edman (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Otto Lopez (MIA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Marlins vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
Marlins vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Miller (LAD) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
| Darren McCaughan (MIA) | 3.5 +135 | 3.5 -175 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bobby Miller has allowed at least one HR in each of his last 11 games dating back to April 5th — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Bobby Miller has averaged 98.4 MPH on fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 93.6 — 100th Percentile.
The average home run distance against Bobby Miller in the 2023 season was 383.2 feet — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.3
Opponents are hitting just .125 (15-for-120) against Bobby Miller’s changeup since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: .236 — 100th Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .435 (10-for-23) against Darren McCaughan when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .219 — second Percentile.
Darren McCaughan has a strikeout rate of just 11% (3 SO in 27 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — seventh Percentile.
Darren McCaughan has allowed an OBP of .519 (27 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .285 — first Percentile.
Darren McCaughan has a strikeout rate of just 11% (7 SO in 62 PAs) this month (3 games) — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Dodgers are 161-28 (.852) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Dodgers are 261-48 (.845) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Dodgers are 14-3 (.824) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Dodgers are 12-3 (.800) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Marlins are just 21-18 (.538) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .751.
The Marlins are just 28-46 (.378) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .524.
The Marlins are just 17-30 (.362) after a home loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Marlins are just 5-38 (.116) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Dodgers are batting .372 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .331.
The Dodgers are batting .364 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .335 (8,642 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .450 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Marlins have a winning percentage of just 37% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .620 (1,868 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .294 (4,573 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .340 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.39 (2162.0 IP) at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.01.
Dodgers pitchers have won 47% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
The Marlins have allowed 5.84 runs per game (438/75) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.14 (697.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.97.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Miami Marlins – No Injuries Reported
- Los Angeles Dodgers – No Injuries Reported
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