- The Dodgers are -185 favorites vs the Marlins
- Dodgers vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Dodgers / Marlins TV Channel: SNLA | BSFL
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-185) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+150) on Wednesday, September 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Dodgers are 89-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 71-80 ATS.
Dodgers vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Landon Knack 2-4, 3.70 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Ryan Weathers 3-5, 3.54 ERA
Dodgers vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 -120 | O 8.5 +100 | -185 |
| Marlins | +1.5 +100 | U 8.5 -120 | +150 |
Dodgers vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 63.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Miguel Rojas has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+23.50 Units / 588% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 24 away games (+16.90 Units / 51% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+12.90 Units / 52% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 32 games (+11.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- Gavin Lux has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+9.30 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jonah Bride has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 42 games (+35.50 Units / 85% ROI)
- Jonah Bride has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 49 games (+16.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jonah Bride has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 49 games (+11.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jonah Bride has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 49 games (+11.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- Jonah Bride has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 30 of his last 48 games (+10.75 Units / 18% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 69 games (+17.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games (+7.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 26 games (+5.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 41 games (+3.20 Units / 5% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 52 of their last 76 games at home (+31.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 37 of their last 59 games (+12.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+8.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+6.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 games at home (+6.30 Units / 34% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 74-77 against the Run Line (-7.3 Units / -4.07% ROI).
- 89-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.45 Units / -4.84% ROI
- 82-65 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.55 Units / 6.36% ROI
- 65-82 when betting on the total runs Under for -25.3 Units / -15.17% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 71-80 against the Run Line (-31.36 Units / -15.88% ROI).
- 56-95 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.15 Units / -11.53% ROI
- 80-64 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.05 Units / 6.02% ROI
- 64-80 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.95 Units / -13.87% ROI
Marlins vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Griffin Conine (MIA) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Marlins vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Edman (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Xavier Edwards (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Marlins vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Marlins vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Landon Knack (LAD) | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
| Ryan Weathers (MIA) | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +105 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 21% (5/24) against Landon Knack this month (2 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.
Landon Knack has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 89% (23/26) of opposing batters this month (2 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 13% (2/15) against Landon Knack this month (2 games) — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 41% — second Percentile.
Landon Knack has allowed a slugging percentage of .588 (20 Total Bases / 34 ABs) this month (2 games) — tied for 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .394 — 10th Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% (106/203) against Ryan Weathers this season — tied for 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 94th Percentile.
62% of Ryan Weathers’ called strikeouts are inside against right-handed batters since last season — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 94th Percentile.
Ryan Weathers has recorded 41 of his 110 strikeouts (37%) with his changeup since last season — tied for 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 13% — 94th Percentile.
Ryan Weathers’ lowest spin rate on fastballs since last season is 1896.0 RPM — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 1257.7
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Dodgers are 261-48 (.845) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Dodgers are 161-28 (.852) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Dodgers are 12-3 (.800) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Dodgers are 14-3 (.824) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Marlins are just 45-31 (.592) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .724.
The Marlins are just 29-46 (.387) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .524.
The Marlins are just 17-37 (.315) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .491.
The Marlins are just 22-18 (.550) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .750.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .782 (8,679 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of 1.223 (2,394 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.088.
The Dodgers are batting .364 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
The Dodgers are batting .372 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .332.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .280 (1,873 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
The Marlins have a winning percentage of just 38% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .294 (4,578 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Marlins hitters have 308 extra-base hits out of 991 total hits (just 31%) against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 14 of 104 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 34 of 233 batters (15%) over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
The Marlins have allowed 5.88 runs per game (447/76) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.19 (706.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.97.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Miami Marlins – No Injuries Reported
- Los Angeles Dodgers – No Injuries Reported
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