- The Padres are -115 favorites vs the Giants
- Giants / Padres TV Channel: NSBA | PDTV
The San Francisco Giants (-105) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-115) on Thursday, March 28, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
Giants vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -210 | O 7.5 -110 | -105 |
| Padres | -1.5 +170 | U 7.5 -110 | -115 |
Giants vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Thursday‘s game with 51.2% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Giants vs Padres and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Wilmer Flores has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Austin Slater has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Brandon Crawford has hit the Runs Under in his last away game (+1.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- J.D. Davis has hit the Runs Under in his last away game (+1.00 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 7 games at home (+5.65 Units / 57% ROI)
- Tyler Wade has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games (+3.65 Units / 183% ROI)
- Tyler Wade has hit the Singles Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.55 Units / 118% ROI)
- Tyler Wade has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+2.80 Units / 140% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games (+2.55 Units / 127% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+22.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 2 games (+2.05 Units / 100% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in their last 1 away games (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 155 games (+17.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 55 games at home (+12.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Webb threw his changeup 46% of the time (371/813) when going through the lineup the third time in a game in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters had a groundball rate of 65% (199/308) against Logan Webb in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Webb threw his changeup 48% of the time (465/963) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Webb threw his changeup 31% of the time (260/848) on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yu Darvish threw his slider 49% of the time (227/464) when behind in the count in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total SL; League Avg: 21% — 99th Percentile.
Yu Darvish has 61 three-pitch strikeouts since last season — 3rd most among pitchers in MLB — 99th Percentile.
Yu Darvish has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.5 MPH on the 259 breaking pitches put in play against him since the 2022 season — tied for 12th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 87.4.
Yu Darvish has an average spin rate of 2764.4 RPM on sliders since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 2397.6 — 97th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Giants were 66-1 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Giants are 31-32 (.492) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
The Giants are just 32-59 (.352) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .455.
The Giants are 130-3 (.977) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Padres were just 2-13 (.133) after a win as underdogs in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .430.
The Padres are just 14-28 (.333) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.
The Padres are just 6-121 (.047) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .093.
The Padres were just 3-63 (.045) when trailing entering the 8th inning in 2023 — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters had an OBP of just .232 (3,303 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Giants hitters had an OPS of just .690 (2,927 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .746.
Giants hitters struck out 453 times in 1,790 PA’s (25%) against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Giants batted just .194 on breaking pitches in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .224.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
The Padres were just 5-10 (.333) against the run line (-46.9% ROI) after a win as underdogs in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .563.
Padres hitters chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against RHP in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Padres hitters drew 494 walks in 4,481 PA’s (11%) against RHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Padres won 85% of games in which they have scored first at home in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Giants pitchers walked 403 of 6,039 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Giants pitchers in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Giants pitchers walked 87 of 1,439 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants pitchers had an ERA of 3.52 (738.0 IP) at home in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,898 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Padres pitchers had an ERA of 3.43 (735.0 IP) at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.
Padres pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Padres pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 40% of their games since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Padres vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Personal, Day-To-Day
- Manny Machado (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Knee, Out
- Gary Sanchez (San Diego Padres): Hand, Out
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, Out
- Jung Hoo Lee (San Francisco Giants): Side, Day-To-Day
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, Out
- Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Out
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Marco Luciano (San Francisco Giants): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Keaton Winn (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, Out
- Mark Mathias (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Out
- Kai-Wei Teng (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, Out
- Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Out
Bet now on Giants vs Padres and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
