- The Padres are -135 favorites vs the Giants
- Giants / Padres TV Channel: FOX
The San Francisco Giants () visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres () on Saturday, March 30, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Giants are 1-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 2-2 ATS.
Giants vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | O | ||
| Padres | U |
Giants vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Saturday‘s game with 52.5% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 24 of his last 32 games (+16.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- Austin Slater has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 16 away games (+13.75 Units / 63% ROI)
- Austin Slater has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 away games (+11.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- Austin Slater has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 16 away games (+9.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- Mitch Haniger has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+8.25 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 35 games (+17.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 30 games (+17.10 Units / 44% ROI)
- Blake Snell has hit the Earned Runs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+15.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 30 games (+15.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+14.65 Units / 27% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+22.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 2 games (+2.05 Units / 100% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in their last 1 away games (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 155 games (+17.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 55 games at home (+12.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 1-1 against the Run Line (-1.25 Units / -32.47% ROI).
- 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.1 Units / 4.76% ROI
- 2-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.05 Units / 95.35% ROI
- 0-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units / -100% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 2-2 against the Run Line (+0.72 Units / 17.18% ROI).
- 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.29 Units / 6.44% ROI
- 3-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.87 Units / 40.39% ROI
- 1-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units / -53.24% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Hicks has thrown 769 fastballs at 100+ MPH since last season — most among in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Jordan Hicks threw 563 fastballs at 100+ MPH in the 2023 season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Jordan Hicks threw 423 fastballs at 100+ MPH in the 2023 season — most among in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Jordan Hicks has a strike rate of just 60% (1,087/1,809) since last season — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of 41% (103/249) against Dylan Cease on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 99th Percentile.
Dylan Cease has thrown his slider 41% of the time (2,596/6,382) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Dylan Cease has thrown his slider 49% of the time (988/2,027) with two-strikes since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of 31% (469/1,511) against Dylan Cease in the 2023 season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 91st Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Giants were 66-1 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Giants were just 16-31 (.340) after a road loss in 2023 — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .464.
The Giants were 22-13 (.629) after a home loss in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The Giants are just 33-59 (.359) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .455.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Padres were just 2-13 (.133) after a win as underdogs in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .430.
The Padres are 49-7 (.875) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Padres were just 3-63 (.045) when trailing entering the 8th inning in 2023 — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Padres were just 1-66 (.015) when trailing entering the 9th inning in 2023 — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters had an OPS of just .683 (1,790 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .742.
The Giants are batting just .240 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Giants hitters had an OBP of just .232 (3,303 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Giants hitters had an OPS of just .475 (3,303 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters had an OPS of .808 (1,699 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Padres hitters had an OBP of .343 (1,699 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .323.
The Padres batted .271 against LHP in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
The Padres were just 2-13 (-73.5% ROI) after a win as underdogs in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers walked 403 of 6,039 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Giants pitchers have walked 177 of 2,885 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,898 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Padres pitchers had an ERA of 3.43 (735.0 IP) at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 45% against Padres pitchers in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 37% against the Padres pitchers in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Padres vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Personal, Day-To-Day
- Manny Machado (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Knee, Out
- Gary Sanchez (San Diego Padres): Hand, Out
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, Out
- Jung Hoo Lee (San Francisco Giants): Side, Day-To-Day
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, Out
- Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Out
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Marco Luciano (San Francisco Giants): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Keaton Winn (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, Out
- Mark Mathias (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Out
- Kai-Wei Teng (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, Out
- Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Out
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