- The Blue Jays are -145 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Guardians / Blue Jays TV Channel: RSN1 | GDTV
The Cleveland Guardians (+120) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-145) on Friday, May 2, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Guardians are 18-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 19-12 ATS.
Guardians vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Logan Allen 1-2, 4.16 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt 2-2, 2.62 ERA
Guardians vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -190 | O 8.5 -115 | +120 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +154 | U 8.5 -105 | -145 |
Guardians vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s MLB game with 55.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 away games (+25.50 Units / 425% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+13.10 Units / 51% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+9.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.10 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+16.80 Units / 84% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.05 Units / 50% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+11.20 Units / 187% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.95 Units / 35% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.15 Units / 80% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.95 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 9 away games (+2.80 Units / 28% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 28 games (+9.07 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 30 games (+5.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+5.00 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games at home (+1.90 Units / 12% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 16-15 against the Run Line (-2.25 Units / -5.03% ROI).
- 18-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.65 Units / 15.35% ROI
- 15-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.05 Units / -0.15% ROI
- 14-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units / -6.71% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 19-12 against the Run Line (+4.1 Units / 8.94% ROI).
- 15-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -0.73% ROI
- 12-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.45 Units / -25.1% ROI
- 19-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.82 Units / 16.83% ROI
Blue Jays vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Carlos Santana (CLE) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Blue Jays vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Blue Jays vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Blue Jays vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Allen (CLE) | 3.5 +135 | 3.5 -175 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .529 (9-for-17) against Logan Allen’s changeup this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .230 — fourth Percentile.
Logan Allen has allowed an OPS of .790 (62 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .512 — first Percentile.
7 of Logan Allen’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — tied for 2nd most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: nan — 99th Percentile.
Logan Allen allowed an OPS of .951 (359 PA’s) against right-handed batters in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .701 — 0 Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .139 against Chris Bassitt with RISP this season — 10th best among qualified SPs– 89th Percentile. Opponents batted .282 (46-for-163) against him with RISP last season — 10th worst among qualified SPs– 17th Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 16% (37/228) against Chris Bassitt on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2024 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has averaged 76.2 MPH on sliders since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 141 total IP; League Avg: 84.3 — 0 Percentile.
Chris Bassitt allowed an OBP of .414 (278 PA’s) versus the top of the order in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .314 — first Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Guardians are 18-7 (.720) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Guardians are 92-2 (.979) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .902.
The Guardians are 9-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .749.
The Guardians are 86-3 (.966) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .861.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Blue Jays are 28-15 (.651) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Blue Jays were just 6-73 (.076) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Blue Jays were just 4-74 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Blue Jays are just 24-90 (.211) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have a swing rate of 63% with two-strikes since last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 60%.
Guardians hitters struck out just 1,142 times in 6,096 PA’s (19%) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .643 (4,022 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Guardians have an average Exit Velocity of 87.6 MPH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting just .178 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .338.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .281 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The Blue Jays are batting just .297 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .334.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .465 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .563.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .220 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Guardians allowed 0.87 runs per game (140/161) in late innings in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .045 against Blue Jays pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .234.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 17% of the time after an opposing score since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 17% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
More MLB Reading:
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