Mariners vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 24

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 24, 2022, 11:14 AM
  • The Royals (62-89) are +145 underdogs vs the Mariners (82-68)
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert (13-6), 3.12 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Kristofer Bubic (2-13), 5.80 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSKC

The Seattle Mariners (-175) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+145) on Saturday, September 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Kansas City.

The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at 1.5.

The Mariners vs Royals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Mariners are 81-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 74-75 ATS.

Mariners vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mariners-1.5O 8 +100-175
Royals +1.5U 8 -120+145

Mariners vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s matchup with 52.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Royals vs Mariners and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 40 of his last 52 away games (+20.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 28 games (+12.40 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 28 games (+10.85 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Luis Castillo has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.45 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 52 away games (+9.95 Units / 13% ROI)

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 33 games at home (+17.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 46 games (+16.60 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 68 of his last 107 games (+12.95 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+12.85 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Brady Singer has hit the Strikeouts Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+11.15 Units / 39% ROI)

Royals vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Drew Waters 0.5 +900 0.5 -10000
Edward Olivares 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Kyle Isbel 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
MJ Melendez 0.5 +450 0.5 -900

Royals vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Drew Waters 0.5 -115 0.5 -115
Edward Olivares 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Kyle Isbel 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
MJ Melendez 0.5 -150 0.5 +105

Royals vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Drew Waters 0.5 +280 0.5 -450
Edward Olivares 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Kyle Isbel 0.5 +250 0.5 -375
MJ Melendez 0.5 +225 0.5 -350

Royals vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kris Bubic 3.5 +115 3.5 -160
Logan Gilbert 5.5 -110 5.5 -130
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 17 of their last 26 away games (+9.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 70 games (+5.35 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 55 of their last 97 games (+17.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 38 games at home (+16.50 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 41 games at home (+12.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+5.80 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+5.20 Units / 85% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 79-68 against the Run Line (+0.75 Units / 0.38% ROI).

  • 81-67 when betting on the Moneyline for +6 Units / 3.18% ROI
  • 67-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.15 Units / -8.1% ROI
  • 74-67 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 0.58% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 74-75 against the Run Line (-12.95 Units / -6.65% ROI).

  • 62-88 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.25 Units / -8.3% ROI
  • 73-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.75 Units / -2.91% ROI
  • 71-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.9 Units / -6% ROI

Opponents have a line drive rate of 29% (145/497) against Logan Gilbert this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .474 (36-for-76) against Logan Gilbert on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .339 — second Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 30% (127/421) against Logan Gilbert on pitches in the strike zone this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% (182/497) against Logan Gilbert this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — eighth Percentile.

Kristofer Bubic: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kris Bubic has allowed an OBP of .425 (414 PA’s) versus the top of the order since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: .324 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .494 (38-for-77) against Kris Bubic when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .334 — 0 Percentile.

Kris Bubic has allowed an OPS of 1.408 (232 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: 1.055 — first Percentile.

Kris Bubic has walked 10 of 63 batters (16%) in late innings since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Mariners are 55-9 (.859) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .802.

The Mariners are 63-2 (.969) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .882.

The Mariners are 39-9 (.812) when scoring in the first inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .665.

The Mariners are 8-55 (.127) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .118.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Royals are just 4-37 (.098) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.

The Royals are just 24-48 (.333) on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .473.

The Royals are 9-4 (.692) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Royals are just 24-73 (.247) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .165 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

The Mariners are batting just .304 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.

The Mariners are batting just .217 at home since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .169 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Royals hitters have just 625 strikeouts in 3,168 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals hitters have just 726 strikeouts in 3,629 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Royals have a winning percentage of just 33% on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Royals hitters are slugging just .243 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Mariners pitchers have walked 896 of 11,636 batters (8%) since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

The Royals have won just 6% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Royals pitchers have walked 241 of 2,747 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Royals vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Joshua Staumont (Royals): Bicep, D15
  • Taylor Clarke (Royals): Oblique, D15
  • Angel Zerpa (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
  • Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Julio Rodríguez (Mariners): Back, D10
  • Eugenio Suárez (Mariners): Finger, D10
  • Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Borucki (Mariners): Forearm, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.