- The Diamondbacks are -185 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Marlins / Diamondbacks TV Channel: FS1 | BSFL | DBTV
The Miami Marlins (+150) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-185) on Saturday, May 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Marlins are 18-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 23-28 ATS.
Marlins vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Sixto Sanchez 0-2, 6.42 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery 2-2, 5.03 ERA
Marlins vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -125 | O 9.5 -115 | +150 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +105 | U 9.5 -105 | -185 |
Marlins vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 57.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Marlins vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 17 away games (+16.50 Units / 97% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+16.25 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 23 games (+14.70 Units / 64% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+12.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+12.15 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 26 games (+16.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 32 games (+16.75 Units / 47% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 38 games (+15.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 23 games (+12.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 16 games (+11.80 Units / 74% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+7.75 Units / 70% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 away games (+7.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.20 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 5 away games (+5.35 Units / 98% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.35 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 40 games (+4.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 51 games (+3.70 Units / 6% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 20-32 against the Run Line (-19.31 Units / -28.29% ROI).
- 18-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.45 Units / -25.33% ROI
- 30-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.05 Units / 10.6% ROI
- 22-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.85 Units / -18.94% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 23-28 against the Run Line (-7.7 Units / -11.74% ROI).
- 24-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.15 Units / -8.14% ROI
- 23-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.9 Units / -10.4% ROI
- 26-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.05 Units / 1.89% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Diamondbacks vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Otto Lopez (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Dane Myers (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Gabriel Moreno (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Diamondbacks vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
Diamondbacks vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sixto Sanchez (MIA) | 2.5 -155 | 2.5 +120 |
| Jordan Montgomery (ARI) | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sixto Sanchez has allowed an OBP of .449 (78 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: .298 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 8% (7/86) against Sixto Sanchez with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .348 (23-for-66) against Sixto Sanchez when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: .232 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (29/233) against Sixto Sanchez this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .474 (9-for-19) against Jordan Montgomery with runners in scoring position this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .225 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (72/205) against Jordan Montgomery on elevated fastballs since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has walked 5 of 35 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (4 games) — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — third Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has allowed an OPS of 1.002 (39 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .522 — first Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Marlins are 17-175 (.089) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Marlins are just 43-54 (.443) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Marlins are just 51-34 (.600) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Marlins are just 23-85 (.213) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .303.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Diamondbacks are just 136-24 (.850) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .905.
The Diamondbacks are just 154-15 (.911) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Diamondbacks are 16-10 (.615) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Diamondbacks are 22-145 (.132) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .095.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .208 (948 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .555 (602 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .681.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .202 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
30% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks hitters have just 443 strikeouts in 2,317 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks hitters have put 40% of their swings in play against LHP since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .309 (4,007 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.13 (270.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins pitchers have won only 0% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have an ERA of 6.36 (99.0 IP) at home this month (11 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.72.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Josh Simpson (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Xavier Edwards (Miami Marlins): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Huascar Brazoban (Miami Marlins): Personal, Out
- Victor Mesa (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Edward Cabrera (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- JT Chargois (Miami Marlins): Neck, 15-Day IL
Bet now on Marlins vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
