- The Dodgers are -300 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Marlins / Dodgers TV Channel: FDFL | SNLA | MLBN
The Miami Marlins (+240) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-300) on Wednesday, April 30, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA, CA.
This season, the Marlins are 12-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 15-14 ATS.
Marlins vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill 2-2, 7.83 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Tony Gonsolin 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Marlins vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +2.5 -130 | O 9.5 -105 | +240 |
| Dodgers | -2.5 +105 | U 9.5 -115 | -300 |
Marlins vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 69.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Eric Wagaman has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+11.85 Units / 79% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- Agustin Ramirez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+9.90 Units / 198% ROI)
- Eric Wagaman has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Eric Wagaman has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.80 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Andy Pages has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+18.90 Units / 270% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+13.30 Units / 53% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 games (+9.30 Units / 93% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.60 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+9.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games (+1.90 Units / 21% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 17 games at home (+7.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.95 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.75 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.10 Units / 20% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 15-14 against the Run Line (-1.1 Units / -3.01% ROI).
- 12-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 1.67% ROI
- 20-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.7 Units / 30.03% ROI
- 9-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -13 Units / -41.27% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 15-14 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 2.83% ROI).
- 20-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.25 Units / 7.31% ROI
- 17-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.15 Units / 9.57% ROI
- 13-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.35 Units / -16.16% ROI
Dodgers vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -275 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Matt Mervis (MIA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
Dodgers vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Tommy Edman (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Dodgers vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Tommy Edman (LAD) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Michael Conforto (LAD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Dodgers vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tony Gonsolin (LAD) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a chase percentage of just 19% (60/319) against Cal Quantrill with runners in scoring position in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 0 Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has allowed an OPS of .718 (602 PA’s) with two-strikes since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: .510 — first Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has allowed an OBP of .332 (602 PA’s) with two-strikes since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: .243 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .356 (80-for-225) against Cal Quantrill’s fastball since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: .259 — 0 Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted just .262 (50-for-191) against Tony Gonsolin in non-two strike counts in 2023 — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .338 — 99th Percentile.
Tony Gonsolin allowed a BABIP of .235 in 2023 — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .295 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents had a swing rate of just 36% (125/348) against Tony Gonsolin on low breaking pitches in 2023 — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 46% — fifth Percentile.
Tony Gonsolin had a strikeout rate of just 14% (10/70) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs in 2023 — 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — ninth Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Marlins were just 14-31 (.311) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Mets (seventh best runs scored) today.
The Marlins are just 53-12 (.815) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .903.
The Marlins are just 46-16 (.742) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .862.
The Marlins were just 30-51 (.370) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Dodgers are 184-33 (.848) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Dodgers are 17-4 (.810) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Dodgers are 119-60 (.665) at home since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .528.
The Dodgers are 19-3 (.864) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters had an OBP of just .286 (1,976 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Marlins are just 19-53 (.264) against the run line (-48.4% ROI) when slight moneyline favorites (-101 to -149) since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .456.
Marlins hitters have a swing rate of 51% against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters are slugging .456 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .339 (9,831 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Dodgers hitters had an OPS of .795 (1,741 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .451 since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers had an ERA of 5.37 (751.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 7.10 (110.1 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.46.
The Marlins allowed 6.04 runs per game (489/81) at home in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.24 (900.1 IP) at home since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.93.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 13% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Dodgers pitchers walked 454 of 6,018 batters (7%) in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Batters facing the Dodgers pitchers have struck out in the zone 51% of the time since the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
More MLB Reading:
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