- The Royals are -225 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins vs Royals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Marlins / Royals TV Channel: BSKC | BSFL | MLBN
The Miami Marlins (+180) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-225) on Wednesday, June 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Marlins are 28-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 45-36 ATS.
Marlins vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Valente Bellozo 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer 4-4, 3.28 ERA
Marlins vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -105 | O 9 -120 | +180 |
| Royals | -1.5 -115 | U 9 +100 | -225 |
Marlins vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 67.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 25 away games (+19.15 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jesus Sanchez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 19 games (+14.90 Units / 78% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 37 games (+9.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 50 games (+9.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 14 away games (+9.60 Units / 62% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 30 games (+19.50 Units / 41% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+16.25 Units / 47% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 22 games at home (+14.20 Units / 40% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+12.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 46 games (+12.50 Units / 18% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 33 away games (+13.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 33 away games (+11.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 37 of their last 61 games (+11.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 38% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 39 games at home (+11.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 39 games at home (+8.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 39 games at home (+8.39 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.70 Units / 51% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 34-45 against the Run Line (-25.46 Units / -23.66% ROI).
- 28-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.4 Units / -21.83% ROI
- 41-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.85 Units / 0.98% ROI
- 37-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.5 Units / -8.64% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 45-36 against the Run Line (+1.54 Units / 1.38% ROI).
- 43-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.4 Units / 5.6% ROI
- 34-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.4 Units / -15.2% ROI
- 43-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.5 Units / 6.25% ROI
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brady Singer has thrown his slider 56% of the time (228/409) with two-strikes this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Brady Singer has walked 43 of 396 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — sixth Percentile.
Brady Singer has walked 3 of 135 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Brady Singer has thrown his slider 44% of the time (611/1,383) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Marlins are just 8-8 (.500) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .753.
The Marlins are just 15-9 (.625) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .800.
The Marlins are just 4-34 (.105) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .200.
The Marlins are 36-15 (.706) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .560.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Royals are just 18-95 (.159) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Royals are just 46-66 (.411) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Royals are just 34-38 (.472) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .620.
The Royals are just 23-54 (.299) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .197 (1,452 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .263 (1,293 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Marlins hitters have chased 35% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .280 (4,432 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Royals won just 38% of games in which they have scored first on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 63%.
The Royals have won just 53% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Royals are batting just .223 on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Marlins have allowed 5.77 runs per game (248/43) at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.
The Marlins have won just 17% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Royals pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Royals pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 27% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Royals have won just 15% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Royals vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Josh Simpson (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Xavier Edwards (Miami Marlins): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Huascar Brazoban (Miami Marlins): Personal, Out
- Victor Mesa (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Edward Cabrera (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- JT Chargois (Miami Marlins): Neck, 15-Day IL
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