- The Tigers are -185 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Marlins / Tigers TV Channel: BSDT | BSFL
The Miami Marlins (+145) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-175) on Tuesday, May 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Marlins are 11-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 19-22 ATS.
Marlins vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Ryan Weathers 2-4, 4.50 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Reese Olson 0-4, 2.48 ERA
Marlins vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -140 | O 8.5 -120 | +145 |
| Tigers | -1.5 +120 | U 8.5 +100 | -175 |
Marlins vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 58.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Otto Lopez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+23.00 Units / 575% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+14.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+12.75 Units / 85% ROI)
- Jesus Sanchez has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+12.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.40 Units / 49% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Riley Greene has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 18 games (+17.40 Units / 97% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+10.30 Units / 42% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+8.20 Units / 48% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 64 away games (+11.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 99 games (+12.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.89 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 75 games (+8.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.39 Units / 74% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 13-30 against the Run Line (-23.46 Units / -42.49% ROI).
- 11-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.5 Units / -44.75% ROI
- 26-17 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.65 Units / 16.26% ROI
- 17-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.5 Units / -24.19% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 19-22 against the Run Line (-4.15 Units / -7.42% ROI).
- 21-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.2 Units / 0.43% ROI
- 19-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.45 Units / 3.52% ROI
- 16-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.3 Units / -12.51% ROI
Tigers vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jazz Chisholm (MIA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Andy Ibanez (DET) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Josh Bell (MIA) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Tigers vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Javier Baez (DET) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Tigers vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Andy Ibanez (DET) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mark Canha (DET) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Tigers vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Reese Olson (DET) | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +120 |
| Ryan Weathers (MIA) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -135 |
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Weathers has allowed an OBP of .451 (71 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .287 — first Percentile.
Ryan Weathers has allowed an OBP of .451 (71 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .286 — second Percentile.
Ryan Weathers has allowed an OPS of .976 (72 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .635 — eighth Percentile.
Ryan Weathers has a strikeout rate of just 7% (2 SO in 30 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Reese Olson has allowed a slugging percentage of just .132 (10 Total Bases / 76 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .387 — 100th Percentile.
Reese Olson has allowed an OPS of just .210 (60 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .721 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .094 (3-for-32) against Reese Olson on low fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .262 — 98th Percentile.
Reese Olson has allowed an OBP of just .133 (60 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .312 — 100th Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Marlins are just 110-29 (.791) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .867.
The Marlins are just 30-59 (.337) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Marlins are just 41-54 (.432) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Marlins are 36-15 (.706) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .560.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Tigers are just 25-138 (.153) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.
The Tigers are 24-12 (.667) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .588.
The Tigers are 65-25 (.722) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .637.
The Tigers are 41-14 (.745) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .616.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .407 (790 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .501.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .536 (499 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .680.
Marlins hitters have chased 35% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Marlins hitters have grounded into 322 double plays in 2,425 opportunities (13%) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers are batting just .314 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .356 against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .648 (10,246 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .292 (10,246 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 281 of 3,241 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Tigers vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Josh Simpson (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Xavier Edwards (Miami Marlins): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Huascar Brazoban (Miami Marlins): Personal, Out
- Victor Mesa (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Edward Cabrera (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- JT Chargois (Miami Marlins): Neck, 15-Day IL
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