Mets vs. Dodgers NLCS Prediction: Game 3 Best Bet for Oct. 16

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Los Angeles Dodgers designated hitter Shohei Ohtani (17) laughs with New York Mets shortstop Francisco Lindor (12) on second base during the first inning of a baseball game in Los Angeles, Saturday, April 20, 2024.
AP Photo/Ashley Landis
Shane Jackson @Sjacksonmgm Oct 15, 2024, 6:09 PM
  • Get expert MLB playoff betting predictions for the Mets vs. Dodgers NLCS matchup.
  • The Dodgers are -110 to win Wednesdayโ€™s Game 3.
  • Los Angeles is -155 to advance to the World Series.

The New York Mets evened the series in Game 2 of the NLCS with a 7-3 win over the Los Angeles Dodgers on Monday.

Francisco Lindor hit a leadoff home run for the Mets, snapping a streak of 33 consecutive scoreless innings from the Dodgersโ€™ pitching staff. Mark Vientos delivered a grand slam in the win.

Game 3 is listed as a toss-up, but Los Angeles is a -155 favorite to win the NLCS.

Here is a look at the latest MLB postseason odds for Mets vs. Dodgers and my best bet ahead of Game 3:

MLB Playoff Odds – Mets vs. Dodgers

  • Mets Moneyline:-110
  • Dodgers Moneyline: -110
  • Over/Under: 8 (+100/-120)
  • Series Price: Mets (+130), Dodgers (-155)

Mets vs. Dodgers Schedule, Pitchers, TV Info

GameDate/TimeMets SPDodgers SPTV
Game 3Wednesday at 8:08 p.m. ETLuis SeverinoWalker BuehlerFS1
Game 4Thursday at TBDTBDTBDFox or FS1
Game 5Friday at TBDTBDTBDFox or FS1
Game 6Sunday at TBDTBDTBDFox or FS1
Game 7Monday at TBDTBDTBDFox or FS1

Mets vs. Dodgers NLCS Prediction, Game 3 Best Bet

Best bet: F5 Under 4.5 (-125)

The NLCS will move from Los Angeles to New York, bringing on cooler conditions for Wednesdayโ€™s Game 3. It provides an opportunity to fade some hot bats.

Ballpark Palโ€™s model projects a 16% decrease in potential runs at Citi Field. The same model shows a decrease of 19% in home runs and 25% in doubles or triples.

Simply put, I expect some regression after the teams scored 19 total runs through the first two games.

While the full game under (7.5) is worth a look, I prefer the F5 market via the latest baseball playoff odds.

Luis Severino surrendered three runs on six hits in his last start after posting a 3.91 ERA in the regular season. Walker Buehler gave up six runs against the San Diego Padres, but all that damage came in the second inning.

I will bet this under at 4.5 or better with a projection below four runs.

Mets vs. Dodgers: Betting Stats

  • New York Mets 2024 Moneyline Record: 95-76
  • New York Mets 2024 Over/Under Record: 87-78
  • Los Angeles Dodgers 2024 Moneyline Record: 102-67
  • Los Angeles Dodgers 2024 Over/Under Record: 93-69

Mets vs. Dodgers 2024 Season Series

DateLocationResult
Oct. 14Dodger StadiumMets 7, Dodgers 3
Oct. 13Dodger StadiumDodgers 9, Mets 0
May 29Citi FieldDodgers 10, Mets 3
May 28Citi FieldDodgers 3, Mets 0
May 28Citi FieldDodgers 5, Mets 2
April 21Dodger StadiumDodgers 10, Mets 0
April 20Dodger StadiumMets 6, Dodgers 4
April 19Dodger StadiumMets 9, Dodgers 4

Visit the online sportsbook for game odds and futures odds throughout the playoffs, including Mets World Series odds and Dodgers World Series odds.

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.