- Get expert betting picks and home run predictions for today's MLB games.
- Find the players with the best odds of hitting a home run today.
- Today’s home run prediction is Reds second baseman Matt McLain.
Here are today’s home run predictions based on the latest MLB odds:
Home Run Predictions Today: May 13
- Reds 2B Matt McLain vs. Chicago White Sox (+425)
Matt McLain: +425 to Hit a Home Run
Cincinnati Reds second baseman Matt McLain is my top home run pick for Tuesday’s matchup against the Chicago White Sox at Great American Ballpark.
Tonight’s White Sox-Reds game is worth targeting for home run bettors. Ballpark Pal’s model projects a 37% increase in home run factor, thanks to some projected wind in a favorable venue for power.
As of Tuesday morning, Ballpark Pal projects 3.01 homers in this game.
McLain has the best odds of all players in tonight’s matchup, with Ballpark Pal giving him a fair value of +374. THE BAT X projects 0.23 home runs for McLain.
McLain hit his fifth home run of the year over the weekend after launching 16 homers in 89 games last season. He ranks in the 73rd percentile in hard-hit rate this spring.
I’d back McLain at +400 or better in the home run market.
Who Will Hit a Home Run Today?
| Player (Team) | Home Run Odds | Game (Time) |
|---|---|---|
| Matt McLain (CIN) | +425 | White Sox vs. Reds (6:40 p.m. ET) |
MLB Home Run Props Today: May 13
Here is an updated list of players with the best home run odds today:
| Player | Home Run Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | +220 | 31.25% |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | +275 | 26.67% |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | +290 | 25.64% |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | +310 | 24.39% |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | +320 | 23.81% |
| Austin Hays (CIN) | +333 | 23.09% |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | +333 | 23.09% |
| Brent Rooker (ATH) | +350 | 22.22% |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | +360 | 21.74% |
| Shea Langeliers (ATH) | +360 | 21.74% |
2025 Home Run Leaders
| Player | Home Runs |
|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 14 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 14 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 13 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 13 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 12 |
| Trent Grisham (NYY) | 12 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 12 |
| James Wood (WSN) | 11 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 11 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 10 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 10 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 10 |
| Brent Rooker (ATH) | 10 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 10 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 10 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) | 10 |
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