MLB MVP Betting: Aaron Judge, Bryce Harper Seeing Most Tickets

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New York Yankees' Aaron Judge during the fifth inning of a baseball game against the Baltimore Orioles Tuesday, May 24, 2022, in New York.
BetMGM Staff @BETMGM Jun 17, 2022, 11:06 AM

There’s a lot of talent headlining both the American League and National League MVP races, but Bryce Harper and Aaron Judge are making the most noise. That shouldn’t be hard to believe with how well-known these star players are, but they’ve backed up the interest by putting up big numbers.

It is worth pointing out that Harper does not have the best MLB MVP odds, but seem to have solid value when it comes to MLB betting.

The Phillies slugger has a 2.4 WAR, a .317 batting average, 15 home runs, 46 RBI, and a 1.000 OPS. It’s hard to ignore those numbers in the NL MVP race, and the public hasn’t. He leads the charge with 15.4% of tickets.

It’s not like this is the first year Harper has been good in a Phillies uniform, either. He’s posted progressively better numbers each season. Harper posted a career-high .615 slugging percentage in 2021, which he’s currently outpacing at .620 this season.

There’s likely some value in Harper’s current odds of +900, which are the fifth-best in the NL behind Paul Goldschmidt, Mookie Bets, Manny Machado, and Pete Alonso.

Those are some big names that Harper will have to fend off, but he’s shown throughout his career that he can do so. With the Phillies finally finding some consistency to their game, a lot of that has to do with how well Harper has played of late, and he should be considered a contender for the award as a result.

In the AL MVP race, Judge has made quite the case for himself, and he’s doing so in a contract year.

The power-hitting outfielder for the New York Yankees has already clubbed 25 home runs, which outpaces his career-best season of 52 in 2017. That season saw Judge finish as the runner-up for the award, but he’s currently the odds-on favorite to win it this season at +110.

Judge opened the year at +2000, which had him in a tie for the fourth-best odds behind Shohei Ohtani, Mike Trout, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Not only is Judge on a spectacular home run pace, but he also owns a 1.067 OPS, which would be the best number he’s hit in his seven years in the big leagues.

Judge owns the highest ticket percentage in the marketplace with 13.3% of tickets, which should increase if his play continues on this trajectory. Of course, some big names will have hot streaks down the stretch, but Judge appears to be a man on a mission, and that’s not a guy no one likely wants to bet against.

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Our BetMGM authors are sports experts, with a wealth of knowledge of the sports betting industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news across players, teams and coaches, providing betting previews and predictions, fun facts and more.

Our BetMGM authors are sports experts, with a wealth of knowledge of the sports betting industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news across players, teams and coaches, providing betting previews and predictions, fun facts and more.