New York Mets 2023 Preview: Odds, Win Total, Predictions

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New York Mets' Francisco Lindor (12) celebrates his three-run homer during the sixth inning of a baseball game against the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park, Monday, Aug. 1, 2022, in Washington.
(AP Photo/Alex Brandon)
Rachael Millanta @rachaelmillanta Mar 10, 2023, 1:11 PM
  • Opening Day for the 2023 MLB season is March 30.
  • The Mets play their season opener against the Marlins at loanDepot Park.

In 2022, the Mets’ 101-win regular season abruptly ended in the first round of the playoffs. It appears they’re doing everything they can to ensure that doesn’t happen again this year.

From exorbitant spending to a middle-of-the-night almost-deal with shortstop Carlos Correa, New York has been the topic of conversation all offseason. The team has made significant moves to bolster its roster, but will it be enough to make a deep run in October?

New York Mets Offseason Transactions

The Mets were extremely active during the offseason, even if they didn’t end up with Correa on their roster.

With owner Steve Cohen famously willing to spend money on payroll, the team signed Justin Verlander (two years, $86.6 million), José Quintana (two years, $26 million), David Robertson (one year, $10 million), Kodai Senga (five years, $75 million), Omar Narváez (two years, $15 million), and Danny Mendick (one year, $1 million).

 

In addition to the flurry of free agent additions, the Mets also re-signed Brandon Nimmo (eight years, $162 million), Edwin Diaz (five years, $102 million), Adam Ottavino (two years, $14.5 million), and Jeff McNeil (four years, $50 million). They also selected Zach Greene from the Yankees in the Rule 5 Draft and claimed Stephen Ridings and Tayler Saucedo off waivers.

The new acquisitions and extensions put New York’s estimated 2023 payroll at $355 million.

The Mets’ biggest loss in the offseason was pitcher Jacob deGrom, who entered free agency after nine seasons in New York. Other exits from the team included pitchers Mychal Givens and Chris Bassitt.

New York Mets Odds

  • Odds to Win NL East: +135
  • Odds to Win National League: +400
  • Odds to Win World Series: +750

All odds are as of Feb. 14.

New York Mets Win Total

The Mets’ win total for the 2023 season is 95.5.

I think 96 wins is very doable for New York. Admittedly, the last time they recorded more than 90 wins before last season (101 wins) was all the way back in 2006 (97 wins), but I also don’t recall a roster this strong since then.

New York Mets Predictions

Prediction: The New York Mets will win the NL East.

The Atlanta Braves knocked the Mets out of first place via a tiebreaker last season, and the Phillies advanced past both teams to get to the World Series, but I can’t see that happening again. 

I’ve had the Mets at the top of the MLB Power Rankings all offseason, and with how their roster has developed, they’re a team to watch for championship contention.

Without deGrom, the Mets’ starting rotation will be Verlander, Max Scherzer, Senga, Quintana, and Carlos Carrasco. David Peterson and Tylor Megill are both young arms likely to get a few starts, but either way, they’re both great depth in case of injuries. The order of the Mets’ rotation is yet to be announced, but regardless of whether they choose Verlander or Scherzer as their top pitcher, that’s a hell of a one-two punch.

I thought the Mets had a fierce lineup in 2022, and with the recent additions, it’s only going to be better this season. New York will be a team to watch this season.

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About the Author

Rachael Millanta

Read More @rachaelmillanta

Rachael Millanta is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM focusing on Major League Baseball and the National Hockey League. Her work has been published in SB Nation, McSweeney’s Internet Tendency, and Slackjaw Humor. Originally from Sydney, Australia, Rachael now resides in Chicago, Illinois.

Rachael Millanta is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM focusing on Major League Baseball and the National Hockey League. Her work has been published in SB Nation, McSweeney’s Internet Tendency, and Slackjaw Humor. Originally from Sydney, Australia, Rachael now resides in Chicago, Illinois.