- The Dodgers are -220 favorites vs the Padres
- Padres vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Padres / Dodgers TV Channel: TBS | Max | SNLA | PDTV
The San Diego Padres (+180) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-220) on Tuesday, June 17, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Padres are 39-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 33-39 ATS.
Padres vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Padres starting pitcher: Randy Vasquez 3-4, 3.63 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Ben Casparius 5-1, 3.05 ERA
Padres vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | +1.5 -110 | O 9.5 -102 | +180 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 -110 | U 9.5 -118 | -220 |
Padres vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 62.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Manny Machado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 25 away games (+16.50 Units / 53% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+15.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 25 away games (+13.20 Units / 46% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+13.05 Units / 48% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 away games (+10.35 Units / 129% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+14.30 Units / 286% ROI)
- Andy Pages has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+12.35 Units / 62% ROI)
- Max Muncy has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+11.85 Units / 47% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+10.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- Andy Pages has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+10.80 Units / 40% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 18 away games (+10.50 Units / 51% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 34 away games (+10.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 57 games (+7.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+3.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.85 Units / 34% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 25 games at home (+13.60 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games at home (+4.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 28 games at home (+4.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.40 Units / 28% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 39-32 against the Run Line (+2.4 Units / 2.54% ROI).
- 39-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 1.63% ROI
- 30-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.45 Units / -16.04% ROI
- 39-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.75 Units / 7.3% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 33-39 against the Run Line (-6.75 Units / -7.88% ROI).
- 44-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.65 Units / -2.8% ROI
- 43-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.65 Units / 14.47% ROI
- 29-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.55 Units / -21.91% ROI
Dodgers vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -200 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
Dodgers vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Dodgers vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
Dodgers vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randy Vasquez (SD) | 2.5 -150 | 2.5 +115 |
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Randy Vasquez struck out just 8% (16/198) of left-handed batters he faced in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .329 (99-for-301) against Randy Vasquez since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 0 Percentile.
Left-handed hitters had a line drive rate of 34% (56/163) against Randy Vasquez in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Randy Vasquez has struck out just 9% (32/345) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 0 Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ben Casparius has allowed an OBP of just .198 (106 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .304 — 97th Percentile.
Ben Casparius has allowed an OBP of just .198 (106 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 6th best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .304 — 95th Percentile.
Ben Casparius has located his sliders away 67% of the time (156/234) this season — 2nd highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 51% — 97th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .168 (17-for-101) against Ben Casparius this season — 14th best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .238 — 87th Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Padres are 66-53 (.555) on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .467.
The Padres were 66-8 (.892) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
The Padres are 21-15 (.583) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Padres are 132-101 (.567) since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Dodgers are 18-5 (.783) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Dodgers are 199-38 (.840) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
The Dodgers are 28-15 (.651) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Dodgers were 15-3 (.833) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres hitters struck out just 278 times in 1,617 PA’s (17%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Padres batted .201 with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters are slugging .469 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .459 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .391.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .450 against RHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .452 since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Padres pitchers had a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Padres pitchers since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .200 against Dodgers pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .257.
Batters facing the Dodgers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 51% of the time since the 2023 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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