- The Giants are -175 favorites vs the Padres
- Padres vs Giants Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Padres / Giants TV Channel: NSBA | MLBN | PDTV
The San Diego Padres (+145) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-175) on Sunday, April 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
This season, the Padres are 5-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 4-5 ATS.
Padres vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Padres starting pitcher: Matt Waldron 0-1, 9.01 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb 0-1, 6.52 ERA
Padres vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | +1.5 -145 | O 8 -115 | +145 |
| Giants | -1.5 +120 | U 8 -105 | -175 |
Padres vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 57.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 42 games (+17.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 37 games (+17.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- Blake Snell has hit the Earned Runs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+15.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 37 games (+14.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+12.70 Units / 59% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 24 of his last 33 games (+14.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- Nick Ahmed has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 13 games at home (+13.35 Units / 65% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+10.35 Units / 38% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+10.20 Units / 45% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.20 Units / 21% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 155 games (+17.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 77 away games (+7.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+22.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 47 games at home (+5.40 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 2 games (+2.05 Units / 100% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 5-6 against the Run Line (+0.62 Units / 5.09% ROI).
- 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.81 Units / -13.16% ROI
- 5-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.43 Units / -3.52% ROI
- 5-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.5 Units / -4.13% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 4-5 against the Run Line (-3.7 Units / -26.52% ROI).
- 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.05 Units / -31.94% ROI
- 7-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.85 Units / 49.24% ROI
- 2-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.8 Units / -58% ROI
Giants vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Monte Wade Jr | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Murphy | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Lee | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Profar | 0.5 +1250 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Bogaerts | 0.5 +1350 | 0.5 -5000 |
Giants vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Webb | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
| Waldron | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -110 |
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matt Waldron has allowed at least one HR in each of his last nine games dating back to June 24th, 2023 — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Matt Waldron has allowed a BABIP of .615 this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: .293 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .429 (9-for-21) against Matt Waldron this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: .242 — second Percentile.
Matt Waldron has allowed an OPS of 1.121 (22 PA’s) this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: .701 — third Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 63% (389/619) against Logan Webb in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Webb threw his changeup 48% of the time (465/963) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Webb threw his changeup 45% of the time (260/575) when behind in the count in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Webb threw his changeup 42% of the time (1,323/3,182) in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Padres were just 2-13 (.133) after a win as underdogs in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .430.
The Padres are just 3-14 (.176) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .427.
The Padres are just 6-125 (.046) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .093.
The Padres are just 1-71 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Giants are just 33-62 (.347) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .455.
The Giants were 22-13 (.629) after a home loss in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The Giants are just 17-34 (.333) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .465.
The Giants were 66-1 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters had an OPS of .808 (1,699 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Padres hitters have an OBP of just .170 (47 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .053 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .160.
Giants hitters had an OPS of just .475 (3,303 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
Giants hitters had an OPS of just .683 (1,790 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .309 (1,866 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers had an ERA of 3.43 (735.0 IP) at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,921 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Padres pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Padres pitchers have an ERA of 3.55 (807.0 IP) at home since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.22.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .500 against Giants pitchers with the shift this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .234.
Giants vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
- Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Glenn Otto (San Diego Padres): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Knee, 10-Day IL
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