The San Diego Padres (-110) visit Camelback Ranch-Glendale to take on the Chicago White Sox (-110) on Wednesday, February 28, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Glendale, AZ.
This season, the Padres are 1-4 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 0-5 ATS.
Padres vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Padres | -110 |
| White Sox | -110 |
Padres vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Taylor Kohlwey has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- Taylor Kohlwey has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Taylor Kohlwey has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Brett Sullivan has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Clint Frazier has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+3.65 Units / 183% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Carlos Perez has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Adam Haseley has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.25 Units / 82% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 155 games (+17.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 77 away games (+7.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 124 games (+16.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.24 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Padres are 1-4 against the Run Line (-3.8 Units / -59.84% ROI).
- 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.95 Units / -63.71% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 18.69% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -21.74% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the White Sox are 0-5 against the Run Line (-6.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.6 Units / -62.07% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.3 Units / -23.21% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 16.67% ROI
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matt Waldron has limited playing time.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Deivi Garcia has limited playing time.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Padres were just 2-13 (.133) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .433.
The Padres were just 1-65 (.015) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Padres are 48-7 (.873) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Padres are just 14-28 (.333) after a win as underdogs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The White Sox were just 51-8 (.864) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The White Sox were just 19-40 (.322) after a win in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The White Sox were just 19-21 (.475) when they scored in the first inning in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .611.
The White Sox were just 45-14 (.763) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
The Padres were just 2-13 (.133) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .433.
The Padres were just 2-13 (-73.5% ROI) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Padres hitters had a swing rate of just 44% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Padres hitters had an OBP of .343 (1,699 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .323.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .213 (3,148 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
White Sox hitters had an OPS of just .458 (3,148 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
White Sox had 2,422 quality ABs out of 5,980 total (41% QAB rate) in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .293 (2,952 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,898 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 37% against the Padres pitchers in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Padres pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .197 against Padres pitchers with the shift in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers walked 654 of 6,301 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox pitchers won only 15% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against White Sox pitchers in the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Out
- John Brebbia (Chicago White Sox): Calf, Out
- Michael Soroka (Chicago White Sox): Forearm, Day-To-Day
- Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Luis Robert (Chicago White Sox): Knee, Out
- Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Personal, Out
- Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Personal, Day-To-Day
- Manny Machado (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Knee, Out
- Gary Sanchez (San Diego Padres): Hand, Out
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