- The Phillies (46-40) are -125 favorites vs the Cardinals (46-42)
- Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola (5-6), 3.15 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas (5-7), 2.71 ERA
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Philadelphia Phillies (-125) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+105) on Monday, July 11, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Phillies vs Cardinals Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Phillies are 46-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 46-42 ATS.
Phillies vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +135 | O 7.5 -105 | -125 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -160 | U 7.5 -115 | +105 |
Phillies vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Monday‘s matchup with 64.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Cardinals vs Phillies and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+11.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+7.85 Units / 42% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.60 Units / 62% ROI)
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- Juan Yepez has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Juan Yepez has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+7.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- Juan Yepez has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+6.75 Units / 70% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+6.20 Units / 34% ROI)
Cardinals vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Corey Dickerson | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Juan Yepez | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Lars Nootbaar | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
Cardinals vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
| Corey Dickerson | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
| Juan Yepez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Lars Nootbaar | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -125 |
Cardinals vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Corey Dickerson | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Juan Yepez | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Lars Nootbaar | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
Cardinals vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Miles Mikolas | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -150 |
| Aaron Nola | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 -105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 36 games (+11.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+11.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 26 of their last 41 away games (+9.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 away games (+6.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.55 Units / 29% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.50 Units / 48% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 27 games at home (+5.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 27 games at home (+4.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 27 games at home (+4.05 Units / 13% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 45-41 against the Run Line (+3.75 Units / 3.55% ROI).
- 46-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.85 Units / -1.59% ROI
- 45-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.3 Units / 2.43% ROI
- 39-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.45 Units / -11.03% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 46-42 against the Run Line (+0.15 Units / 0.13% ROI).
- 46-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.7 Units / -2.37% ROI
- 40-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.9 Units / -9.16% ROI
- 44-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.15 Units / 0.15% ROI
Aaron Nola: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Aaron Nola has walked 15 of 431 batters (4%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has walked 5 of 224 right-handed batters (2%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .114 (5-for-44) against Aaron Nola on low fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .273 — 98th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has a strikeout rate of 27% (16 SO in 59 PAs) in PAs ending on inside fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 96th Percentile.
Miles Mikolas: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Miles Mikolas has walked 9 of 213 left-handed batters (4%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 97th Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has a strikeout rate of just 36% (83 SO in 228 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 10th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 14% (8/57) against Miles Mikolas with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 17% (57/333) against Miles Mikolas this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — sixth Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Phillies are just 1-9 (.100) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies are 8-29 (.216) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Phillies are 8-28 (.222) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .113.
The Phillies are 37-2 (.949) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Cardinals are 18-5 (.783) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Cardinals are 8-4 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 1-37 (.026) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Cardinals are 37-1 (.974) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have 2 strikeouts in 4 PA’s (50%) against LHP over the past seven days (1 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Phillies are just 1-9 (.100) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies are batting .350 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .337.
Phillies hitters are slugging .501 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .443.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 192 extra-base hits out of 445 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters have 219 extra-base hits out of 517 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .457 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
The Cardinals are batting .262 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .253 against Phillies pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .222.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Phillies pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 2,211 times since the start of last season — 4th fewest in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 78 of 780 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 206 of 2,199 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Hamstring, D10
- Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Brendan Donovan (Cardinals): Illness, Day-to-Day
- Harrison Bader (Cardinals): Foot, D10
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Timothy McFarland (Cardinals): Illness, D15
- Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Yadier Molina (Cardinals): Knee, D10
- Zachary Eflin (Phillies): Knee, D15
- James McArthur (Phillies): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Sherriff (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
- Connor Brogdon (Phillies): COVID, D10
- Bryce Harper (Phillies): Thumb, D10
- Johan Camargo (Phillies): Knee, D10
- Jean Segura (Phillies): Finger, D60
- Samuel Coonrod (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
- Ranger Suárez (Phillies): Back, D15
- Nicholas Maton (Phillies): Shoulder, D10
- Joseph Romero (Phillies): Elbow, D60
- Damon Jones (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Cardinals vs Phillies and all MLB games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.