- The Red Sox are -130 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Rangers / Red Sox TV Channel: ESPN
The Texas Rangers (+105) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-125) on Monday, August 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the Rangers are 55-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 54-62 ATS.
Rangers vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Tyler Mahle 0-1, 1.80 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Brayan Bello 10-5, 5.19 ERA
Rangers vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -185 | O 9.5 -115 | +105 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +150 | U 9.5 -105 | -125 |
Rangers vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Monday‘s MLB game with 52.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 38 games (+21.40 Units / 56% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+14.25 Units / 75% ROI)
- Wyatt Langford has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+13.85 Units / 52% ROI)
- Wyatt Langford has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+12.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- Ezequiel Duran has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.05 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 48 games (+19.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 42 games (+17.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 50 games (+15.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 48 games (+14.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 48 games (+11.00 Units / 21% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 away games (+10.70 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.90 Units / 106% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 73 games (+21.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 49 games (+9.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 64 of their last 116 games (+5.50 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 58 of their last 116 games (+5.15 Units / 3% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 52-66 against the Run Line (-23.7 Units / -15.25% ROI).
- 55-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.5 Units / -11.11% ROI
- 52-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -15 Units / -11.56% ROI
- 61-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.85 Units / 2.97% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 54-62 against the Run Line (-16 Units / -10.35% ROI).
- 61-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.45 Units / -0.32% ROI
- 61-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.45 Units / 5.05% ROI
- 50-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.7 Units / -13.08% ROI
Red Sox vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Red Sox vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Connor Wong (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Masataka Yoshida (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Red Sox vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Josh Jung (TEX) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Red Sox vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brayan Bello (BOS) | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
| Tyler Mahle (TEX) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The last hit on a Tyler Mahle slider was April 9th, 2023. Hitters are 0 for their last 17 in ABs ending on his slider. — Andres Munoz has the longest active streak at 26.
The last hit on a Tyler Mahle breaking pitch was April 9th, 2023. Hitters are 0 for their last 17 in ABs ending on his breaking pitches. — the longest active streak is 26.
Tyler Mahle has a strikeout rate of just 10% (2 SO in 21 PAs) this month (1 games) — tied for 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 23% — seventh Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 18% (90/507) against Brayan Bello since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 176 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (72/430) against Brayan Bello since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 37% (28/75) against Brayan Bello on breaking pitches this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (208/348) against Brayan Bello in two-strike counts since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 176 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Rangers are just 7-92 (.071) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Rangers are just 3-197 (.015) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rangers are just 5-105 (.045) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Rangers are just 2-46 (.042) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .145.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Red Sox are 50-10 (.833) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Red Sox are just 31-32 (.492) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The Red Sox are just 3-120 (.024) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Red Sox are 109-11 (.908) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .857.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rangers are batting just .151 against LHP this month (7 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
13% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,181/16,749 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .185 (81 PA’s) when leading off an inning this month (9 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .954 (816 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.074.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have 381 strikeouts in 1,364 PA’s (28%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Red Sox are batting .271 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Red Sox hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .447 against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Rangers pitchers this season traveled 510.9 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 465.5
Rangers pitchers have walked 62 of 1,038 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 3.44 (529.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.00.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 317 of 4,423 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 64 of 1,045 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 169 of 2,480 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 4.59 (1996.0 IP) at home since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.02.
Red Sox vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Isaiah Campbell (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 7-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Trevor Story (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Chest, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Chris Martin (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Justin Slaten (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Garrett Whitlock (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Triston Casas (Boston Red Sox): Ribs, 60-Day IL
- Cody Bradford (Texas Rangers): Ribs, 60-Day IL
- Dane Dunning (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Cole Winn (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Marc Church (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Jung (Texas Rangers): Wrist, 60-Day IL
- Evan Carter (Texas Rangers): Back, 10-Day IL
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