Rangers vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 13

Boston Red Sox third baseman Rafael Devers looks on during the eighth inning of a baseball game against the Baltimore Orioles, Sept. 29, 2023, in Baltimore. With the Red Sox ramping up at the start of spring training, Devers made it clear Tuesday, Feb. 20, 2024, that he felt the franchise should have done more to improve the roster over the winter.
AP Photo/Julio Cortez)
  • The Red Sox are -145 favorites vs the Rangers
  • Rangers vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 10 Runs
  • Rangers / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | BSSW

The Texas Rangers (+120) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-145) on Tuesday, August 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.

This season, the Rangers are 55-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 54-63 ATS.

Rangers vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rangers starting pitcher: Jose Urena 3-7, 3.78 ERA
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford 7-9, 4.13 ERA

Rangers vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers+1.5 -160O 10 -105+120
Red Sox -1.5 +135U 10 -115-145

Rangers vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nate Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 39 games (+20.40 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Wyatt Langford has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 26 games (+15.70 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Wyatt Langford has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+13.75 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+13.25 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Wyatt Langford has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.45 Units / 22% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Runs Over in 29 of his last 49 games (+21.15 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Masataka Yoshida has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 13 games (+16.40 Units / 126% ROI)
  • Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 49 games (+15.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 34 games (+13.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 30 of his last 49 games (+12.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 away games (+10.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 7 games (+7.90 Units / 98% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.90 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 74 games (+21.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+10.80 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+9.35 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 65 of their last 117 games (+6.60 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 59 of their last 117 games (+6.15 Units / 4% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 53-66 against the Run Line (-22.7 Units / -14.44% ROI).

  • 55-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.5 Units / -11.71% ROI
  • 52-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -15 Units / -11.46% ROI
  • 61-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.85 Units / 2.94% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 54-63 against the Run Line (-17 Units / -10.92% ROI).

  • 62-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 0.38% ROI
  • 61-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.45 Units / 5.01% ROI
  • 50-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.7 Units / -12.97% ROI

Red Sox vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +290 0.5 -375
Rafael Devers (BOS) 0.5 +310 0.5 -400
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +320 0.5 -400
Josh Jung (TEX) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Marcus Semien (TEX) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Red Sox vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
David Hamilton (BOS) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Wyatt Langford (TEX) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Josh Jung (TEX) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Dominic Smith (BOS) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Wilyer Abreu (BOS) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Red Sox vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Rafael Devers (BOS) 0.5 +100 0.5 -135
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +115 0.5 -150
Masataka Yoshida (BOS) 0.5 +125 0.5 -160
Rob Refsnyder (BOS) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Wilyer Abreu (BOS) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175

Red Sox vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kutter Crawford (BOS) 5.5 +140 5.5 -185

Jose Urena has a strikeout rate of just 33% (55 SO in 168 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 43% — fifth Percentile.

Jose Urena has struck out just 13% (26/199) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.

9 of Jose Urena’s 29 breaking pitch strikeouts (31%) have been backdoor this season — 7th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 12% — 95th Percentile.

Jose Urena has a strikeout rate of just 15% (55 SO in 355 PAs) this season — 6th lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 24% — sixth Percentile.

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kutter Crawford has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.047 (67 Total Bases / 64 ABs) when behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .590 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (44/140) against Kutter Crawford in two-strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (129/378) against Kutter Crawford this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fifth Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of just 19% (12/64) against Kutter Crawford when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Rangers are just 5-105 (.045) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.

The Rangers are just 4-43 (.085) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .200.

The Rangers are just 2-46 (.042) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .145.

The Rangers are just 15-165 (.083) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .134.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Red Sox are just 5-186 (.026) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Red Sox are 21-14 (.600) after a road win this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .468.

The Red Sox are just 3-120 (.024) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.

The Red Sox are 42-34 (.553) after a road win since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .483.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .955 (821 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.073.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .174 (109 PA’s) when leading off an inning over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .308.

Rangers hitters have drawn 276 walks in 2,852 PA’s (10%) against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers hitters are slugging just .514 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .597.

The Red Sox are batting .271 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Red Sox hitters have 381 strikeouts in 1,371 PA’s (28%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Red Sox hitters are slugging .696 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .597.

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of 1.209 (849 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 1.073.

The longest HR allowed by the Rangers pitchers this season traveled 510.9 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 465.5

The Rangers have allowed 3.64 runs per game (211/58) at home this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.43.

Rangers pitchers have walked 63 of 1,048 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 409 of 4,469 batters (9%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 170 of 2,490 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 65 of 1,055 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 321 of 4,463 batters (7%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Red Sox vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Isaiah Campbell (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 7-Day IL
  • Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
  • Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Trevor Story (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Chest, Day-To-Day
  • Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Chris Martin (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Justin Slaten (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Garrett Whitlock (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Triston Casas (Boston Red Sox): Ribs, 60-Day IL
  • Cody Bradford (Texas Rangers): Ribs, 60-Day IL
  • Dane Dunning (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Cole Winn (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Marc Church (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Josh Jung (Texas Rangers): Wrist, 60-Day IL
  • Evan Carter (Texas Rangers): Back, 10-Day IL

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

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Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.