- The Red Sox are -155 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Rangers / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | BSSW
The Texas Rangers (+125) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-150) on Wednesday, August 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the Rangers are 55-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 55-63 ATS.
Rangers vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Cody Bradford 4-0, 3.53 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Tanner Houck 8-8, 3.02 ERA
Rangers vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -160 | O 9.5 -120 | +125 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +135 | U 9.5 +100 | -150 |
Rangers vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 55.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 40 games (+19.40 Units / 49% ROI)
- Wyatt Langford has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 27 games (+17.40 Units / 61% ROI)
- Wyatt Langford has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+14.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+14.55 Units / 69% ROI)
- Wyatt Langford has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+13.45 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Runs Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+22.25 Units / 44% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Singles Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+16.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- Masataka Yoshida has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 14 games (+15.40 Units / 110% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 35 games (+14.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 31 of his last 50 games (+13.00 Units / 24% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 22 away games (+11.70 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 8 games (+8.90 Units / 92% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 75 games (+22.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 51 games (+11.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.35 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 66 of their last 118 games (+7.60 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 60 of their last 118 games (+7.15 Units / 5% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 53-67 against the Run Line (-24.3 Units / -15.3% ROI).
- 55-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.5 Units / -12.29% ROI
- 53-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -14 Units / -10.6% ROI
- 61-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.85 Units / 2.16% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 55-63 against the Run Line (-15.65 Units / -9.99% ROI).
- 63-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 1.07% ROI
- 62-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.45 Units / 5.73% ROI
- 50-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.7 Units / -13.64% ROI
Red Sox vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Josh Jung (TEX) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -1200 |
Red Sox vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Jung (TEX) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Nate Lowe (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Josh H. Smith (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Red Sox vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Josh Jung (TEX) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Red Sox vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tanner Houck (BOS) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cody Bradford has struck out 41% (9/22) of right-handed batters he faced this month (2 games) — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.
Cody Bradford has allowed an OBP of just .167 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for 14th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .310 — 90th Percentile.
Cody Bradford has allowed an OBP of just .120 (25 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (2 games) — 12th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .242 — 91st Percentile.
Cody Bradford has a strikeout rate of 39% (7 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 93rd Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tanner Houck has allowed a slugging percentage of just .286 (79 Total Bases / 276 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .407 — 95th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 57% (125/218) against Tanner Houck this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 41% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% (228/411) against Tanner Houck this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 95th Percentile.
Tanner Houck has allowed a slugging percentage of just .313 (167 Total Bases / 534 ABs) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .393 — 97th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Rangers are just 7-94 (.069) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Rangers are just 3-198 (.015) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rangers are just 9-181 (.047) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Rangers are just 5-106 (.045) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Red Sox are just 34-42 (.447) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.
The Red Sox are just 53-177 (.230) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.
The Red Sox are 21-14 (.600) after a road win this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .470.
The Red Sox are just 32-32 (.500) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .954 (829 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.074.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .180 (100 PA’s) when leading off an inning this month (11 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .306.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .165 (109 PA’s) when leading off an inning over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .304.
Rangers hitters are slugging just .359 on the road this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .775 (3,204 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Red Sox hitters have an OPS of 1.210 (854 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 1.074.
Red Sox hitters have 385 strikeouts in 1,379 PA’s (28%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .447 against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .232 against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Rangers pitchers have walked 411 of 4,506 batters (9%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rangers have allowed 3.64 runs per game (211/58) at home this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.42.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 324 of 4,499 batters (7%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 170 of 2,499 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 65 of 1,064 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Red Sox vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Isaiah Campbell (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 7-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Trevor Story (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Chest, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Chris Martin (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Justin Slaten (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Garrett Whitlock (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Triston Casas (Boston Red Sox): Ribs, 60-Day IL
- Cody Bradford (Texas Rangers): Ribs, 60-Day IL
- Dane Dunning (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Cole Winn (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Marc Church (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Jung (Texas Rangers): Wrist, 60-Day IL
- Evan Carter (Texas Rangers): Back, 10-Day IL
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