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The Tampa Bay Rays () visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays () on Wednesday, July 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Rays are 51-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 45-55 ATS.
Rays vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Zach Eflin 5-7, 4.13 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yariel Rodriguez 1-3, 3.78 ERA
Rays vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | O | ||
| Blue Jays | U |
Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 30 games (+20.30 Units / 68% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 24 games (+16.70 Units / 48% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+14.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+12.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- Amed Rosario has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.15 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 25 games (+29.05 Units / 116% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 21 games (+11.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+8.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- Justin Turner has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 17 games at home (+8.30 Units / 49% ROI)
- Justin Turner has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.85 Units / 28% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 62 of their last 98 games (+23.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 53 of their last 92 games (+10.15 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 28 games (+6.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games (+6.45 Units / 24% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 30 games (+14.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+9.10 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+0.15 Units / 1% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 49-52 against the Run Line (-7.2 Units / -5.33% ROI).
- 51-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.75 Units / -6.2% ROI
- 48-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.8 Units / -6.12% ROI
- 50-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.5 Units / -2.25% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 45-55 against the Run Line (-21.1 Units / -15.45% ROI).
- 45-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.3 Units / -13.65% ROI
- 51-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.2 Units / 0.18% ROI
- 46-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.3 Units / -9.36% ROI
Blue Jays vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Blue Jays vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Berrios (TOR) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
| Shawn Armstrong (TB) | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Eflin has walked 1 of 162 batters (1%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has walked 13 of 438 batters (3%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has walked 11 of 441 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has a strikeout rate of just 14% (23 SO in 159 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yariel Rodriguez has allowed an OBP of just .074 (27 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .283 — 100th Percentile.
Yariel Rodriguez has allowed an OBP of just .074 (27 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .276 — 100th Percentile.
Yariel Rodriguez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .033 (1 Total Bases / 30 ABs) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .244 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .038 (1-for-26) against Yariel Rodriguez when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .223 — 100th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rays are just 14-29 (.326) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.
The Rays are 30-56 (.349) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .261.
The Rays are 110-5 (.957) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .898.
The Rays are 15-1 (.938) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .798.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Blue Jays are just 8-48 (.143) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.
The Blue Jays are just 16-92 (.148) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .212.
The Blue Jays are just 15-66 (.185) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
The Blue Jays are 42-28 (.600) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have 230 strikeouts in 927 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Rays are batting .265 against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Rays hitters are slugging just .358 against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .766 (2,254 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .464 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Blue Jays hitters have just 417 strikeouts in 2,192 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 663 strikeouts in 3,431 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of just .522 (92 PA’s) against LHP this month (10 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 1,110 of 15,757 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 9% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Blue Jays pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Nate Pearson (Toronto Blue Jays): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa (Toronto Blue Jays): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Calf, 10-Day IL
- Hagen Danner (Toronto Blue Jays): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Nathan Lukes (Toronto Blue Jays): Thumb, 7-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Orelvis Martinez (Toronto Blue Jays): Suspension, Suspension
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 7-Day IL
- Ryan Pepiot (Tampa Bay Rays): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Yandy Diaz (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Out
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Out
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