- The Blue Jays are -135 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Red Sox vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Red Sox / Blue Jays TV Channel: NESN | RSN
The Boston Red Sox (+115) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-135) on Monday, June 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Red Sox are 37-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 32-39 ATS.
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Nick Pivetta 3-4, 3.89 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi 4-5, 3.28 ERA
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -185 | O 7.5 -105 | +115 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +150 | U 7.5 -115 | -135 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Monday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- David Hamilton has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+14.60 Units / 243% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+14.35 Units / 42% ROI)
- Rob Refsnyder has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 49 games (+11.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- David Hamilton has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.25 Units / 52% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bo Bichette has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 50 games (+17.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 47 games (+17.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+12.40 Units / 67% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+10.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Under in 37 of his last 50 games (+10.75 Units / 10% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+8.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 37 of their last 72 games (+6.70 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 away games (+5.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 31 away games (+4.70 Units / 13% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 70 games (+9.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 57 games (+5.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.55 Units / 16% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 34-38 against the Run Line (-10.2 Units / -10.48% ROI).
- 37-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -1.32% ROI
- 32-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.95 Units / -8.79% ROI
- 36-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.15 Units / 1.45% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 32-39 against the Run Line (-12.45 Units / -13.44% ROI).
- 35-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.9 Units / -8.32% ROI
- 30-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -13 Units / -16.71% ROI
- 39-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.6 Units / 7.14% ROI
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Connor Wong (BOS) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Rob Refsnyder (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Connor Wong (BOS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Connor Wong (BOS) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yusei Kikuchi (TOR) | 6.5 -125 | 6.5 -105 |
| Nick Pivetta (BOS) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Pivetta has walked 6 of 23 left-handed batters (26%) — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .116 (13-for-112) against Nick Pivetta in late innings since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 100th Percentile.
Nick Pivetta has allowed a slugging percentage of .768 (199 Total Bases / 259 ABs) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: .573 — 0 Percentile.
Nick Pivetta has a strikeout rate of 40% (35 SO in 88 PAs) in late innings since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed a slugging percentage of .667 (26 Total Bases / 39 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .338 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .315 (35-for-111) against Yusei Kikuchi when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — third Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed an OBP of .376 (125 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .217 (38-for-175) against Yusei Kikuchi with two-strikes this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .161 — fifth Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Red Sox are just 1-24 (.040) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .149.
The Red Sox are just 1-13 (.071) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Red Sox are just 42-70 (.375) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Red Sox are just 16-158 (.092) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .133.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Blue Jays are 26-18 (.591) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Blue Jays are 78-31 (.716) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Blue Jays are 20-12 (.625) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .425.
The Blue Jays are 24-12 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Red Sox are batting .271 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .420 against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .872 (367 PA’s) against RHP this month (14 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have a groundball batting average of just .170 against the shift this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Blue Jays hitters have a groundball batting average of just .202 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Blue Jays hitters have just 379 strikeouts in 2,023 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 625 strikeouts in 3,262 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Red Sox pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 42 of 645 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 191 of 2,676 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 23% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 25% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 240 of 3,529 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers won only 15% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
- Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
- Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out
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