- The Mariners are -185 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Red Sox vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Red Sox / Mariners TV Channel: RTNW | NESN
The Boston Red Sox (+150) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-185) on Tuesday, June 17, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Red Sox are 38-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 31-40 ATS.
Red Sox vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Walker Buehler 5-4, 5.02 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryan Woo 5-4, 3.39 ERA
Red Sox vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -155 | O 7.5 -115 | +150 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +125 | U 7.5 -105 | -185 |
Red Sox vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 60.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- David Hamilton has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 away games (+12.00 Units / 150% ROI)
- Abraham Toro has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- Marcelo Mayer has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Abraham Toro has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- David Hamilton has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+7.00 Units / 13% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+12.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+10.80 Units / 108% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+9.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+8.45 Units / 51% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 24 away games (+14.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+9.50 Units / 95% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 away games (+9.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 64 games (+8.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 35 away games (+8.15 Units / 18% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games at home (+8.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 37 of their last 65 games (+6.40 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 28 games at home (+1.85 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 31 games at home (+1.35 Units / 3% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 37-36 against the Run Line (+2.35 Units / 2.57% ROI).
- 38-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.31 Units / -5.44% ROI
- 33-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.02 Units / -13.51% ROI
- 40-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.85 Units / 4.74% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 31-40 against the Run Line (-9.05 Units / -10.35% ROI).
- 36-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.8 Units / -9.28% ROI
- 36-31 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.95 Units / 2.51% ROI
- 31-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.82 Units / -11.22% ROI
Mariners vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Mariners vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| J.P. Crawford (SEA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Abraham Toro (BOS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Mariners vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Dominic Canzone (SEA) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Mariners vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Woo (SEA) | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +120 |
| Walker Buehler (BOS) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +110 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 31 ABs ending on a two-strike fastball from Walker Buehler. — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Walker Buehler has allowed an OBP of .310 (303 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: .241 — first Percentile.
Walker Buehler has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.067 (16 Total Bases / 15 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .378 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .533 (8-for-15) against Walker Buehler when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .236 — 0 Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryan Woo has thrown 62% of his pitches in the strike zone (126/202) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has walked 1% of batters when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has thrown 58% of his pitches in the strike zone (673/1,161) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 51% — 100th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has thrown fastballs 73% of the time (414/569) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Red Sox were just 5-58 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Red Sox are just 7-82 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Red Sox are just 4-170 (.023) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Red Sox are 31-2 (.939) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .903.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Mariners are 179-4 (.978) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Mariners were 58-5 (.921) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
The Mariners are 4-29 (.121) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .045.
The Mariners are 102-2 (.981) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters struck out 506 times in 1,816 PA’s (28%) against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Red Sox are batting .271 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .239.
The Red Sox are batting .374 in hitter’s counts since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .337.
Red Sox hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .228 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners are batting just .214 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Mariners hitters slugged just .219 with two-strikes in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Red Sox pitchers over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% against Red Sox pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .265 (2,083 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Mariners pitchers walked 76 of 1,441 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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