- The Red Sox are -120 favorites vs the Rangers
- Red Sox vs Rangers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Red Sox / Rangers TV Channel: NESN | BSSW
The Boston Red Sox (-115) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-105) on Saturday, August 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Red Sox are 58-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 48-62 ATS.
Red Sox vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Tanner Houck 8-7, 2.79 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jon Gray 5-4, 3.76 ERA
Red Sox vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +150 | O 8 -105 | -115 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -185 | U 8 -115 | -105 |
Red Sox vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 17 away games (+23.70 Units / 139% ROI)
- Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in his last 14 away games (+15.50 Units / 65% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Over in 30 of his last 48 games (+13.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+12.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 45 games (+11.95 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 31 games (+21.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 47 games (+18.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 37 of his last 48 games (+15.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+12.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Wyatt Langford has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 19 games (+12.45 Units / 61% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 65 games (+15.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 50 away games (+12.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 away games (+10.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.30 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 56 of their last 108 games (+6.25 Units / 4% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 49 games at home (+17.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 48 games at home (+10.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 35 of their last 59 games (+9.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games at home (+7.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 29 games at home (+7.00 Units / 17% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 51-57 against the Run Line (-12.95 Units / -9.06% ROI).
- 58-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.85 Units / 1.38% ROI
- 54-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.55 Units / 0.46% ROI
- 49-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.1 Units / -8.49% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 48-62 against the Run Line (-22.15 Units / -15.45% ROI).
- 52-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.8 Units / -10.57% ROI
- 47-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.7 Units / -13.78% ROI
- 58-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.5 Units / 5.38% ROI
Rangers vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Josh Jung (TEX) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Rangers vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Josh Jung (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nate Lowe (TEX) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Rangers vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Josh Jung (TEX) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Rangers vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tanner Houck (BOS) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tanner Houck has a strike rate of just 55% (104/189) in his last two starts — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Tanner Houck has a strike rate of just 55% (104/189) over the last 14 days — lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 66% — second Percentile.
Tanner Houck has allowed a slugging percentage of just .302 (148 Total Bases / 490 ABs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .391 — 100th Percentile.
Tanner Houck has allowed an OPS of just .489 (189 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .684 — 97th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jonathan Hernandez has walked 26 of 181 batters (14%) this season — tied for 9th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — fourth Percentile.
Jonathan Hernandez has located his fastballs down 62% of the time (172/275) this season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 99th Percentile.
Jonathan Hernandez has walked 26 of 181 batters (14%) this season — tied for 2nd highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 9% — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .407 (24-for-59) against Jonathan Hernandez on low fastballs since last season — 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .272 — fourth Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Red Sox are 49-10 (.831) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Red Sox are 19-12 (.613) after a road win this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .463.
The Red Sox are just 5-181 (.027) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Red Sox are 7-3 (.700) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Rangers are just 3-192 (.015) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rangers are just 3-26 (.103) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Rangers are just 5-100 (.048) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Rangers are just 2-41 (.047) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .264 with two outs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.
Red Sox hitters have 357 strikeouts in 1,265 PA’s (28%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox hitters have 1,095 strikeouts in 4,390 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .521 (300 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Rangers are batting .262 against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Rangers hitters are slugging .427 against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .336 (2,745 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .321.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 293 of 4,112 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Red Sox have allowed 8.00 runs per game (96/12) over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.61.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 58 of 975 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 163 of 2,410 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 368 of 4,095 batters (9%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .224 against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Rangers pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 8.28 (50.0 IP) over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.81.
Rangers vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Cody Bradford (Texas Rangers): Ribs, 60-Day IL
- Dane Dunning (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Cole Winn (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Marc Church (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Jung (Texas Rangers): Wrist, 60-Day IL
- Evan Carter (Texas Rangers): Back, 10-Day IL
- Isaiah Campbell (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 7-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Trevor Story (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Chest, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Chris Martin (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Justin Slaten (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Garrett Whitlock (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Triston Casas (Boston Red Sox): Ribs, 60-Day IL
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