- The Rangers are -120 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Red Sox vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Red Sox / Rangers TV Channel: NESN | BSSW
The Boston Red Sox (+105) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-125) on Sunday, August 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:35pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Red Sox are 58-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 49-62 ATS.
Red Sox vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Nick Pivetta 5-7, 4.47 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi 8-4, 3.40 ERA
Red Sox vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +165 | O 8 -105 | +105 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -225 | U 8 -115 | -125 |
Red Sox vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 18 away games (+22.70 Units / 126% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 49 games (+14.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 43 games (+14.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 46 games (+13.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 42 games (+11.80 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Leody Taveras has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games at home (+21.20 Units / 424% ROI)
- Wyatt Langford has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 19 games (+12.45 Units / 61% ROI)
- Wyatt Langford has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Nathan Eovaldi has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.95 Units / 68% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 66 games (+16.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 51 away games (+11.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 51 away games (+9.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.55 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 56 of their last 109 games (+5.10 Units / 4% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+16.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 36 of their last 60 games (+10.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 49 games at home (+9.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+8.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games at home (+8.00 Units / 19% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 51-58 against the Run Line (-13.95 Units / -9.69% ROI).
- 58-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 0.59% ROI
- 55-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.55 Units / 1.29% ROI
- 49-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.15 Units / -9.29% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 49-62 against the Run Line (-21.15 Units / -14.57% ROI).
- 53-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.8 Units / -9.77% ROI
- 48-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.7 Units / -12.84% ROI
- 58-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.45 Units / 4.47% ROI
Rangers vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Josh Jung (TEX) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Rangers vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Masataka Yoshida (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Josh Jung (TEX) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Rangers vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Josh Jung (TEX) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Rangers vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pivetta (BOS) | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +125 |
| Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 +100 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Pivetta has allowed a slugging percentage of .774 (253 Total Bases / 327 ABs) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 108 total IP; League Avg: .573 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (38/117) against Nick Pivetta with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 108 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Nick Pivetta has allowed a slugging percentage of .707 (444 Total Bases / 628 ABs) in non-two strike counts since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 173 total IP; League Avg: .563 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (73/239) against Nick Pivetta this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 90% (18/20) against Nathan Eovaldi in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 60% (101/167) against Nathan Eovaldi this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has not walked a batter in his last 43.1 innings pitched — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Nathan Eovaldi has not allowed a walk in his last 93 PAs against a LHH dating back to June 15th — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Red Sox are 19-13 (.594) after a road win this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .458.
The Red Sox are just 28-110 (.203) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.
The Red Sox are just 5-182 (.027) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Red Sox are 7-3 (.700) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Rangers are just 2-41 (.047) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Rangers are just 3-192 (.015) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rangers are just 5-100 (.048) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Rangers are just 4-39 (.093) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .197.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have 362 strikeouts in 1,284 PA’s (28%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Red Sox are batting .264 with two outs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .234.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .451 against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .399.
The Red Sox are batting .272 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .337 (2,751 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .321.
Rangers hitters have 75 extra-base hits out of 257 total hits (just 29%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .756 (4,561 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Rangers hitters are slugging .427 against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 297 of 4,151 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Red Sox have allowed 8.00 runs per game (96/12) over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.65.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 163 of 2,418 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 4.79 (246.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.11.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Rangers pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 5.16 (483.1 IP) on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.24.
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 3.35 (492.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.96.
Rangers vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Cody Bradford (Texas Rangers): Ribs, 60-Day IL
- Dane Dunning (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Cole Winn (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Marc Church (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Jung (Texas Rangers): Wrist, 60-Day IL
- Evan Carter (Texas Rangers): Back, 10-Day IL
- Isaiah Campbell (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 7-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Trevor Story (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Chest, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Chris Martin (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Justin Slaten (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Garrett Whitlock (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Triston Casas (Boston Red Sox): Ribs, 60-Day IL
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