- The Royals are -155 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Red Sox vs Royals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Red Sox / Royals TV Channel: NESN | BSKC
The Boston Red Sox (+125) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-150) on Wednesday, August 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Red Sox are 61-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 64-51 ATS.
Red Sox vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford 7-8, 3.82 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 8-7, 3.37 ERA
Red Sox vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -185 | O 8.5 -110 | +125 |
| Royals | -1.5 +150 | U 8.5 -110 | -150 |
Red Sox vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 21 away games (+26.30 Units / 125% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Runs Over in 25 of his last 44 games (+16.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 46 games (+16.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 30 of his last 45 games (+12.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 49 games (+11.85 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 24 of his last 36 games (+20.10 Units / 56% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+16.80 Units / 240% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+13.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 22 games (+12.35 Units / 56% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.50 Units / 34% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 69 games (+19.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 54 away games (+14.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 54 away games (+12.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.55 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 63 of their last 112 games (+7.80 Units / 6% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 58 games at home (+10.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 58 games at home (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 58 games at home (+8.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 39 games at home (+7.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 46 games (+6.80 Units / 13% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 54-58 against the Run Line (-10.95 Units / -7.32% ROI).
- 61-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 2.9% ROI
- 58-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.55 Units / 3.69% ROI
- 49-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.45 Units / -11.72% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 64-51 against the Run Line (+4.64 Units / 3% ROI).
- 63-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.8 Units / 5.36% ROI
- 50-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.75 Units / -13.42% ROI
- 61-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.6 Units / 4.44% ROI
Royals vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Royals vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Rob Refsnyder (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Royals vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Connor Wong (BOS) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Royals vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kutter Crawford (BOS) | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +120 |
| Cole Ragans (KC) | 6.5 -160 | 6.5 +120 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kutter Crawford has allowed an OPS of 1.584 (72 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 1.022 — first Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.098 (67 Total Bases / 61 ABs) when behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .581 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (42/135) against Kutter Crawford in two-strike counts this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fourth Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of just 20% (12/61) against Kutter Crawford when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .545 (12 GB hits out of 22 GBs) against Cole Ragans with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — first Percentile.
Cole Ragans has a first-pitch strike rate of just 42% (20/48) in his last two starts — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 34% (321/937) against Cole Ragans this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Cole Ragans walked 4 of 19 right-handed batters (21%) in his last start — 2nd highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 6% — third Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Red Sox are just 19-25 (.432) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Red Sox are 50-10 (.833) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Red Sox are 34-23 (.596) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .476.
The Red Sox are 48-51 (.485) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Royals are just 23-99 (.189) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .364.
The Royals are just 40-56 (.417) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Royals are just 18-33 (.353) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Royals are 24-35 (.407) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .272.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .272 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Red Sox are batting .263 with two outs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .234.
Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .781 (3,040 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .445 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 171 strikeouts in 971 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Royals won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
The Royals won only 28% of their road games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Royals are batting .181 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .152.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 58 of 1,010 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 3 of 108 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 163 of 2,445 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 303 of 4,258 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 41% with two-strikes since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Royals pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- MJ Melendez (Kansas City Royals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 60-Day IL
- Isaiah Campbell (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 7-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Trevor Story (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Chest, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Chris Martin (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Justin Slaten (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Garrett Whitlock (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Triston Casas (Boston Red Sox): Ribs, 60-Day IL
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