- The Red Sox are -115 favorites vs the Tigers
- Red Sox vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Red Sox / Tigers TV Channel: TBS | Max | FDDT | NESN
The Boston Red Sox (-110) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-110) on Tuesday, May 13, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI, MI.
This season, the Red Sox are 22-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 26-16 ATS.
Red Sox vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Brayan Bello 2-0, 2.02 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tyler Holton 2-2, 3.12 ERA
Red Sox vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +154 | O 8.5 -118 | -110 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -190 | U 8.5 -102 | -110 |
Red Sox vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Trevor Story has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+11.70 Units / 117% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.45 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Colt Keith has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+21.65 Units / 216% ROI)
- Trey Sweeney has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+12.25 Units / 60% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.40 Units / 60% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+10.15 Units / 45% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.45 Units / 38% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.90 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 38 games (+10.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.49 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.78 Units / 33% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 42 games (+14.08 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+13.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 42 games (+12.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+9.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+9.20 Units / 36% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 21-22 against the Run Line (+0.8 Units / 1.51% ROI).
- 22-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.46 Units / -10.48% ROI
- 20-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.92 Units / -8.27% ROI
- 22-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.4 Units / 0.85% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 26-16 against the Run Line (+7.5 Units / 13.59% ROI).
- 27-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.2 Units / 16.9% ROI
- 21-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.5 Units / 3.26% ROI
- 18-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.05 Units / -10.83% ROI
Tigers vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Tigers vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Gleyber Torres (DET) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Kristian Campbell (BOS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Tigers vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Tigers vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brayan Bello (BOS) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -115 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 63% (109/173) against Brayan Bello in two-strike counts in 2023 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 55% (97/175) against Brayan Bello in two-strike counts in the 2024 season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 94th Percentile.
Brayan Bello has a in-zone of just 42% (77/185) in his last two starts — 4th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 52% — fourth Percentile.
Brayan Bello has a strike rate of just 57% (105/185) this month (2 game{NumGameSuffix}) — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Holton allowed an OPS of just .363 (122 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in 2023 — best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .688 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Holton allowed an OBP of just .182 (121 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in 2023 — best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .318 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Holton allowed an OBP of just .182 (121 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in 2023 — best among AL Relievers; League Avg: .320 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .103 (12-for-116) against Tyler Holton’s elevated fastball since the 2023 season — best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .202 — 100th Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Red Sox were just 5-58 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Red Sox are just 5-72 (.065) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .138.
The Red Sox are just 41-157 (.207) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Red Sox were just 17-33 (.340) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Blue Jays (23rd best runs scored) today.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Tigers were 13-55 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Tigers were 18-54 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Tigers are 21-66 (.241) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .138.
The Tigers are 7-73 (.088) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have put just 29% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Red Sox are batting .378 in hitter’s counts since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .335.
The Red Sox batted .300 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Red Sox hitters slugged .266 on pitches out of the zone in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters slugged just .362 against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.
The Tigers batted just .229 against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .300 (741 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Tigers hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers walked 416 of 5,969 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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