Red Sox vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 9

Chicago White Sox's watches the flight of the ball during a baseball game against the Los Angeles Angels Wednesday, May 31, 2023, in Chicago.
(AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)
  • The Red Sox are -160 favorites vs the White Sox
  • Red Sox vs White Sox Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Red Sox / White Sox TV Channel: NESN | NSCH

The Boston Red Sox (-150) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+125) on Sunday, June 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Red Sox are 32-33 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 28-37 ATS.

Red Sox vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Zack Kelly 0-1, 2.00 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Chris Flexen 2-5, 5.22 ERA

Red Sox vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Red Sox-1.5 +105O 9 -105-150
White Sox +1.5 -125U 9 -115+125

Red Sox vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 60.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Under in 31 of his last 46 games (+17.05 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Rob Refsnyder has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+13.30 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Rafael Devers has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 23 games (+11.45 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.25 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 16 away games (+8.60 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Paul DeJong has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 28 games (+24.35 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 21 games at home (+12.95 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 21 games at home (+10.35 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the Runs Over in his last 5 games (+6.90 Units / 138% ROI)
  • Gavin Sheets has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 17 games at home (+6.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 52 games (+7.45 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games (+6.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 65 games (+5.50 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 away games (+4.40 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.95 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+6.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.30 Units / 83% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 23 games at home (+0.70 Units / 3% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 29-36 against the Run Line (-12.95 Units / -14.62% ROI).

  • 32-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.95 Units / -6.21% ROI
  • 27-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.85 Units / -13.78% ROI
  • 34-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.7 Units / 6.56% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 28-37 against the Run Line (-12.35 Units / -16.1% ROI).

  • 17-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.95 Units / -36.82% ROI
  • 31-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.05 Units / -2.89% ROI
  • 30-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.55 Units / -5.08% ROI

White Sox vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luis Robert (CWS) 0.5 +325 0.5 -450
Enmanuel Valdez (BOS) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
Bobby Dalbec (BOS) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Connor Wong (BOS) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Jamie Westbrook (BOS) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600

White Sox vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corey Julks (CWS) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Connor Wong (BOS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Rob Refsnyder (BOS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Andrew Vaughn (CWS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Luis Robert (CWS) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160

White Sox vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luis Robert (CWS) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Connor Wong (BOS) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Enmanuel Valdez (BOS) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Andrew Vaughn (CWS) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Dominic Smith (BOS) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225

White Sox vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chris Flexen (CWS) 4.5 -140 4.5 +105

Right-handed batters are hitting just .143 (5-for-35) against Zack Kelly this season — 9th best among AL Relievers; League Avg: .233 — 92nd Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .100 (2-for-20) against Zack Kelly with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 5th best among AL Relievers; League Avg: .237 — 95th Percentile.

Zack Kelly has allowed an OBP of just .217 (23 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 8th best among AL Relievers; League Avg: .334 — 93rd Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 25% (12/48) against Zack Kelly this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 38% — 99th Percentile.

White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .351 (40-for-114) against Chris Flexen’s elevated fastball since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 89 total IP; League Avg: .228 — 0 Percentile.

Chris Flexen has allowed a slugging percentage of .629 (158 Total Bases / 251 ABs) on fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 89 total IP; League Avg: .446 — 0 Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .312 (118-for-378) against Chris Flexen since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 89 total IP; League Avg: .248 — third Percentile.

Chris Flexen has located his pitches away 62% of the time (603/977) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Red Sox are just 0-28 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .109.

The Red Sox are just 0-28 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .059.

The Red Sox are just 0-12 (.000) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.

The Red Sox are 17-3 (.850) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .700.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The White Sox are just 9-39 (.188) after a loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .504.

The White Sox are just 58-23 (.716) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.

The White Sox are just 4-20 (.167) after a road loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .490.

The White Sox are just 9-10 (.474) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .811.

Red Sox hitters have 192 strikeouts in 666 PA’s (29%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Red Sox hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Red Sox hitters are slugging .237 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .212.

The Red Sox are just 21-40 (.339) against the run line (-35.9% ROI) after a home loss since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .483.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .217 (4,369 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .287 (6,399 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .293 (1,907 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.

The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 16% on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 165 of 2,400 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Red Sox pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 27 of 474 batters (6%) over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 4.89 (1244.1 IP) against division opponents since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.

White Sox pitchers have walked 911 of 8,797 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 1,444 of 14,942 batters (10%) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 5.74 (257.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.02.

The White Sox have won just 6% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

White Sox vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
  • Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
  • Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL
  • Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
  • Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
  • Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
  • Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
  • Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
  • Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.