- The Yankees are -185 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Red Sox vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Red Sox / Yankees TV Channel: NESN | YES | ESPN+ | MLBN
The Boston Red Sox (+145) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-175) on Sunday, September 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Red Sox are 75-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 76-72 ATS.
Red Sox vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford 8-14, 4.10 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 14-9, 4.04 ERA
Red Sox vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -145 | O 8.5 -110 | +145 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +120 | U 8.5 -110 | -175 |
Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 59.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 23 away games (+16.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- Rob Refsnyder has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 19 games (+10.10 Units / 53% ROI)
- Romy Gonzalez has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+9.15 Units / 45% ROI)
- Romy Gonzalez has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 36 games (+7.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- Nick Sogard has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 17 games (+7.60 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Trevino has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 31 games (+19.65 Units / 50% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 31 games (+15.45 Units / 49% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 14 games at home (+14.35 Units / 72% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+14.00 Units / 98% ROI)
- Jon Berti has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+8.00 Units / 200% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 69-79 against the Run Line (-18.75 Units / -9.62% ROI).
- 75-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.5 Units / -3.55% ROI
- 74-67 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.55 Units / 0.34% ROI
- 67-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.75 Units / -8.52% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 76-72 against the Run Line (+7.05 Units / 3.94% ROI).
- 85-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.75 Units / -6.25% ROI
- 79-65 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.05 Units / 4.31% ROI
- 65-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.65 Units / -13.33% ROI
Yankees vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Yankees vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Romy Gonzalez (BOS) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Yankees vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Yankees vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Rodon (NYY) | 7.5 -120 | 7.5 -105 |
| Kutter Crawford (BOS) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kutter Crawford has allowed an OPS of 1.464 (103 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 1.033 — second Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has allowed a slugging percentage of .988 (83 Total Bases / 84 ABs) when behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .589 — first Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has a strike rate of 69% (532/766) in two strike counts this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (163/476) against Kutter Crawford this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — eighth Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Rodon has an ERA of 6.85 (44.2 IP) against division opponents this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.63 — first Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 47% (98 SO in 209 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 97th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (115/354) against Carlos Rodon this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 30% (420/1,396) against Carlos Rodon this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 87th Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Red Sox are just 3-135 (.022) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Red Sox are just 15-61 (.197) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.
The Red Sox are just 57-50 (.533) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.
The Red Sox are just 5-201 (.024) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Yankees are 119-36 (.768) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .638.
The Yankees are 45-10 (.818) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .640.
The Yankees are 6-3 (.667) after a win as underdogs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Yankees are 27-20 (.574) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .392 in hitter’s counts this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Red Sox hitters have 485 strikeouts in 1,717 PA’s (28%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .440 against RHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
The Red Sox are batting .269 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 204 walks in 1,672 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 478 walks in 4,389 PA’s (11%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Yankees have barrels in 7% of PA’s this season (405/5,736) — best in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 423 of 5,664 batters (7%) this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 25% against Red Sox pitchers since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The longest HR allowed by the Red Sox pitchers this season traveled 473.0 feet — — tied for 5th longest in MLB; League Avg: 461.8
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .206 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.77 (2065.0 IP) on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.26.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- New York Yankees – No Injuries Reported
- Boston Red Sox – No Injuries Reported
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