- The Astros are -150 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Astros Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Royals / Astros TV Channel: SCHN | FDKC
The Kansas City Royals (+115) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-140) on Wednesday, May 14, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX, TX.
This season, the Royals are 25-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 22-19 ATS.
Royals vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen 3-3, 3.58 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Colton Gordon 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Royals vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -185 | O 8.5 -110 | +115 |
| Astros | -1.5 +150 | U 8.5 -110 | -140 |
Royals vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Royals vs Astros and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+19.00 Units / 238% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.95 Units / 39% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.50 Units / 78% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.35 Units / 70% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+15.35 Units / 52% ROI)
- Victor Caratini has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games at home (+13.40 Units / 335% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.55 Units / 35% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 44 games (+19.55 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 36 games (+14.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 games (+13.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 43 games (+8.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+8.40 Units / 29% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 33 games (+9.92 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 41 games (+5.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.60 Units / 28% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 22-22 against the Run Line (-7.1 Units / -11.25% ROI).
- 25-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.45 Units / 11.39% ROI
- 15-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.37 Units / -32.01% ROI
- 28-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.55 Units / 23.68% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 22-19 against the Run Line (+5.27 Units / 10.26% ROI).
- 21-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.5 Units / -8.36% ROI
- 18-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.85 Units / -10.85% ROI
- 21-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 2.2% ROI
Astros vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Zach Dezenzo (HOU) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Astros vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jake Meyers (HOU) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Astros vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Zach Dezenzo (HOU) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
Astros vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Colton Gordon (HOU) | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +125 |
| Michael Lorenzen (KC) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Lorenzen has allowed a slugging percentage of .593 (32 Total Bases / 54 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — second Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .083 (2 Total Bases / 24 ABs) on fastballs away this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .372 — 97th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has walked 3% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 95th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen allowed a BABIP of .165 vs left-handed batters in the 2024 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .287 — 100th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Royals are just 2-8 (.200) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Astros (10th best runs scored) today.
The Royals are just 6-60 (.091) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .191.
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals are 18-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .881.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros were just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are just 3-8 (.273) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Royals (12th best runs scored) today.
The Astros are 100-79 (.559) on the road since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .473.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Royals hitters struck out just 863 times in 4,480 PA’s (19%) against RHP in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals hitters have struck out in just 19% of it’s PA’s against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have struck out in just 18% of it’s PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters averaged just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
The Astros are batting .360 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Astros hitters have an OBP of .438 (185 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .328.
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.74 pitches per plate appearance since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have walked 4% of batters this month (13 game{NumGameSuffix}) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Royals pitchers have walked 5% of batters over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Royals vs Astros and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
