Royals vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 28

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 28, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Tigers (61-92) are -135 favorites vs the Royals (63-91)
  • Royals starting pitcher: Daniel A. Lynch (4-11), 5.05 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Matthew Manning (2-3), 3.42 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSDET

The Kansas City Royals (+110) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-135) on Wednesday, September 28, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit.

The Tigers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Royals vs Tigers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Royals are 63-91 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 73-80 ATS.

Royals vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Royals+1.5 -190O 7.5 -115+110
Tigers -1.5 +155U 7.5 -105-135

Royals vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 30 away games (+18.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Kyle Isbel has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 23 away games (+17.80 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 48 away games (+14.85 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 48 games (+14.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 42 games (+14.60 Units / 18% ROI)

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.95 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Javier Baez has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+9.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Tucker Barnhart has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.25 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+9.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.10 Units / 28% ROI)

Tigers vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eric Haase 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Javier Baez 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Miguel Cabrera 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Riley Greene 0.5 +900 0.5 -10000
Ryan Kreidler 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000

Tigers vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eric Haase 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
Javier Baez 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Miguel Cabrera 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Riley Greene 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Ryan Kreidler 0.5 -130 0.5 -110

Tigers vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eric Haase 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Javier Baez 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Miguel Cabrera 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Riley Greene 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Ryan Kreidler 0.5 +240 0.5 -375

Tigers vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Manning 4.5 +115 4.5 -160
Daniel Lynch 4.5 -165 4.5 +120
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 36 of their last 59 away games (+13.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+3.65 Units / 14% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 77-77 against the Run Line (-12.2 Units / -6.05% ROI).

  • 63-91 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.9 Units / -9.11% ROI
  • 75-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.15 Units / -3.05% ROI
  • 73-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.05 Units / -5.9% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 73-80 against the Run Line (-18.8 Units / -9.71% ROI).

  • 61-92 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.65 Units / -6.01% ROI
  • 59-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.65 Units / -18.11% ROI
  • 82-59 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.2 Units / 10.83% ROI

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .337 (55 GB hits out of 163 GBs) against Daniel Lynch this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: .232 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (45/138) against Daniel Lynch with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

The average home run distance against Daniel Lynch against right-handed batters since the start of last season is 413.3 feet — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 399.2

Opponents are hitting .459 (28-for-61) against Daniel Lynch on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: .336 — second Percentile.

Matthew Manning: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Matt Manning has a first-pitch strike rate of just 54% (51/95) this month (4 games) — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — fifth Percentile.

Matt Manning has allowed a slugging percentage of just .250 (21 Total Bases / 84 ABs) this month (4 games) — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .387 — 89th Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting just .119 (5-for-42) against Matt Manning this month (4 games) — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 95th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .093 (4-for-43) against Matt Manning with two-strikes this month (4 games) — tied for 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .159 — 90th Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Royals are just 3-71 (.041) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .118.

The Royals are just 4-38 (.095) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .338.

The Royals are just 24-49 (.329) on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .475.

The Royals are just 12-39 (.235) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Tigers are just 6-64 (.086) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .199.

The Tigers are just 30-47 (.390) on the road this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .475.

The Tigers are just 41-8 (.837) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .882.

The Tigers are just 4-6 (.400) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Royals hitters have an OPS of just .990 (2,250 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.083.

Royals hitters have just 630 strikeouts in 3,194 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals hitters are slugging just .242 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.

Royals hitters are slugging just .367 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .276 (4,108 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .289 (8,339 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .602 (4,108 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .290 (2,719 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Royals pitchers have walked 1,161 of 12,077 batters (10%) since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .273 against Royals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .238.

Tigers pitchers have walked 122 of 1,344 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 60% of their games since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Tigers vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D60
  • Joe Jiménez (Tigers): Back, D15
  • Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D60
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Mental Health, D60
  • Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • Joshua Staumont (Royals): Bicep, D15
  • Taylor Clarke (Royals): Oblique, D15
  • Angel Zerpa (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
  • Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.