- The Tigers (61-92) are -135 favorites vs the Royals (63-91)
- Royals starting pitcher: Daniel A. Lynch (4-11), 5.05 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Matthew Manning (2-3), 3.42 ERA
- Watch the game on BSDET
The Kansas City Royals (+110) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-135) on Wednesday, September 28, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit.
The Tigers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Royals vs Tigers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Royals are 63-91 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 73-80 ATS.
Royals vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -190 | O 7.5 -115 | +110 |
| Tigers | -1.5 +155 | U 7.5 -105 | -135 |
Royals vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 30 away games (+18.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 23 away games (+17.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 48 away games (+14.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 48 games (+14.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 42 games (+14.60 Units / 18% ROI)
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+9.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- Tucker Barnhart has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.25 Units / 44% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+9.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.10 Units / 28% ROI)
Tigers vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Miguel Cabrera | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Ryan Kreidler | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Tigers vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Miguel Cabrera | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Ryan Kreidler | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 -110 |
Tigers vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Miguel Cabrera | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Ryan Kreidler | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
Tigers vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Manning | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -160 |
| Daniel Lynch | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +120 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Royals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 36 of their last 59 away games (+13.25 Units / 19% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+3.65 Units / 14% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 77-77 against the Run Line (-12.2 Units / -6.05% ROI).
- 63-91 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.9 Units / -9.11% ROI
- 75-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.15 Units / -3.05% ROI
- 73-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.05 Units / -5.9% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 73-80 against the Run Line (-18.8 Units / -9.71% ROI).
- 61-92 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.65 Units / -6.01% ROI
- 59-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.65 Units / -18.11% ROI
- 82-59 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.2 Units / 10.83% ROI
Daniel A. Lynch: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .337 (55 GB hits out of 163 GBs) against Daniel Lynch this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: .232 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (45/138) against Daniel Lynch with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
The average home run distance against Daniel Lynch against right-handed batters since the start of last season is 413.3 feet — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 399.2
Opponents are hitting .459 (28-for-61) against Daniel Lynch on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: .336 — second Percentile.
Matthew Manning: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matt Manning has a first-pitch strike rate of just 54% (51/95) this month (4 games) — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — fifth Percentile.
Matt Manning has allowed a slugging percentage of just .250 (21 Total Bases / 84 ABs) this month (4 games) — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .387 — 89th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .119 (5-for-42) against Matt Manning this month (4 games) — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .093 (4-for-43) against Matt Manning with two-strikes this month (4 games) — tied for 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .159 — 90th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Royals are just 3-71 (.041) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .118.
The Royals are just 4-38 (.095) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .338.
The Royals are just 24-49 (.329) on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .475.
The Royals are just 12-39 (.235) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Tigers are just 6-64 (.086) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .199.
The Tigers are just 30-47 (.390) on the road this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .475.
The Tigers are just 41-8 (.837) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .882.
The Tigers are just 4-6 (.400) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .990 (2,250 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.083.
Royals hitters have just 630 strikeouts in 3,194 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters are slugging just .242 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.
Royals hitters are slugging just .367 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .276 (4,108 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .289 (8,339 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .602 (4,108 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .290 (2,719 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have walked 1,161 of 12,077 batters (10%) since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .273 against Royals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 122 of 1,344 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 60% of their games since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Tigers vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D60
- Joe Jiménez (Tigers): Back, D15
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Mental Health, D60
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Bicep, D15
- Taylor Clarke (Royals): Oblique, D15
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Knee, D60
- Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
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