Tigers vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 25

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 25, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Diamondbacks (32-40) are -150 favorites vs the Tigers (27-43)
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Alexander Faedo (1-4), 4.66 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Davies (2-4), 3.96 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSAZ

The Detroit Tigers (+125) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-150) on Saturday, June 25, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Phoenix.

The Diamondbacks are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Tigers vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Tigers are 27-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 40-32 ATS.

Tigers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+1.5 -160O 8.5 -115+125
Diamondbacks -1.5 +135U 8.5 -105-150

Tigers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Saturday‘s matchup with 57.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Tigers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 games (+9.35 Units / 94% ROI)
  • Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Jonathan Schoop has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 21 away games (+7.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.75 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Jonathan Schoop has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 19 away games (+6.65 Units / 27% ROI)

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 19 games (+9.60 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+9.30 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Josh Rojas has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.25 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.00 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.55 Units / 35% ROI)

Diamondbacks vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Carson Kelly 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Christian Walker 0.5 +250 0.5 -400
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +280 0.5 -450
David Peralta 0.5 +425 0.5 -800

Diamondbacks vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 1.5 +175 1.5 -250
Carson Kelly 0.5 -160 0.5 +110
Christian Walker 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Daulton Varsho 0.5 -275 0.5 +185
David Peralta 0.5 -250 0.5 +170

Diamondbacks vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Carson Kelly 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Christian Walker 0.5 +100 0.5 -140
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
David Peralta 0.5 +140 0.5 -200

Diamondbacks vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Zach Davies 4.5 -110 4.5 -130
Alex Faedo 3.5 -165 3.5 +120
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 67 games (+19.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.90 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 away games (+3.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 38 games (+2.90 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 37 games at home (+11.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 61 games (+6.75 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+5.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+1.00 Units / 1% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.45 Units / 7% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 32-38 against the Run Line (-9.1 Units / -10.52% ROI).

  • 27-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.35 Units / -13.67% ROI
  • 23-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.8 Units / -30.97% ROI
  • 43-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +18 Units / 23.21% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 40-32 against the Run Line (+4.05 Units / 4.29% ROI).

  • 32-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -3.69% ROI
  • 30-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.35 Units / -17.02% ROI
  • 40-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.3 Units / 7.85% ROI

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 29% (23/78) against Alex Faedo this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: 43% — seventh Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting .281 (25-for-89) against Alex Faedo this season — tied for 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: .235 — 13th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (47/145) against Alex Faedo this season — 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: 43% — sixth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .292 (52-for-178) against Alex Faedo this season — 12th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: .243 — eighth Percentile.

Zachary Davies: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Zach Davies has struck out just 12% (17/148) of left-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.

Zach Davies has a first-pitch strike rate of just 54% (170/313) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.

Zach Davies has located his pitches away 70% of the time (220/313) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 20% (64/313) against Zach Davies on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — first Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Tigers are just 2-32 (.059) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.

The Tigers are just 10-21 (.323) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .489.

The Tigers are just 27-35 (.435) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.

The Tigers are just 2-18 (.100) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Diamondbacks are just 81-21 (.794) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .877.

The Diamondbacks are just 89-14 (.864) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .917.

The Diamondbacks are just 9-27 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Diamondbacks are 4-30 (.118) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .099.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .573 (1,100 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .695.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .328 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .310 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .387.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .315 against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .392.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .186 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .233.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .214 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .188 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.

Diamondbacks hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

Tigers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.0 MPH (1,750 batted balls) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.

Tigers pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.0 MPH this season (1,750 balls in play) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.7

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 66% of their games since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Diamondbacks vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Clifton Kennedy (Diamondbacks): Wrist, Day-to-Day
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Jacob Bukauskas (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): COVID-19, D10
  • Dazmon Cameron (Tigers): COVID-19, D10
  • Michael Pineda (Tigers): Finger, D15
  • Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D10
  • José Cisnero (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.