- The Diamondbacks (32-40) are -150 favorites vs the Tigers (27-43)
- Tigers starting pitcher: Alexander Faedo (1-4), 4.66 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Davies (2-4), 3.96 ERA
- Watch the game on BSAZ
The Detroit Tigers (+125) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-150) on Saturday, June 25, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Diamondbacks are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Tigers vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Tigers are 27-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 40-32 ATS.
Tigers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -160 | O 8.5 -115 | +125 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +135 | U 8.5 -105 | -150 |
Tigers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Saturday‘s matchup with 57.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 games (+9.35 Units / 94% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jonathan Schoop has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 21 away games (+7.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.75 Units / 60% ROI)
- Jonathan Schoop has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 19 away games (+6.65 Units / 27% ROI)
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 19 games (+9.60 Units / 51% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+9.30 Units / 60% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.55 Units / 35% ROI)
Diamondbacks vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| David Peralta | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Diamondbacks vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +110 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| David Peralta | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
Diamondbacks vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -140 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| David Peralta | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
Diamondbacks vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zach Davies | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -130 |
| Alex Faedo | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +120 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 67 games (+19.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.90 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 away games (+3.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 38 games (+2.90 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.35 Units / 17% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 37 games at home (+11.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 61 games (+6.75 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+5.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+1.00 Units / 1% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.45 Units / 7% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 32-38 against the Run Line (-9.1 Units / -10.52% ROI).
- 27-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.35 Units / -13.67% ROI
- 23-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.8 Units / -30.97% ROI
- 43-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +18 Units / 23.21% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 40-32 against the Run Line (+4.05 Units / 4.29% ROI).
- 32-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -3.69% ROI
- 30-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.35 Units / -17.02% ROI
- 40-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.3 Units / 7.85% ROI
Alexander Faedo: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 29% (23/78) against Alex Faedo this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: 43% — seventh Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .281 (25-for-89) against Alex Faedo this season — tied for 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: .235 — 13th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (47/145) against Alex Faedo this season — 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: 43% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .292 (52-for-178) against Alex Faedo this season — 12th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: .243 — eighth Percentile.
Zachary Davies: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Davies has struck out just 12% (17/148) of left-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.
Zach Davies has a first-pitch strike rate of just 54% (170/313) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.
Zach Davies has located his pitches away 70% of the time (220/313) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 20% (64/313) against Zach Davies on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — first Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Tigers are just 2-32 (.059) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.
The Tigers are just 10-21 (.323) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .489.
The Tigers are just 27-35 (.435) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Tigers are just 2-18 (.100) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Diamondbacks are just 81-21 (.794) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .877.
The Diamondbacks are just 89-14 (.864) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .917.
The Diamondbacks are just 9-27 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Diamondbacks are 4-30 (.118) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .099.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .573 (1,100 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .695.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .328 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .310 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .387.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .315 against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting just .186 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .233.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .214 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .188 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.0 MPH (1,750 batted balls) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.
Tigers pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.0 MPH this season (1,750 balls in play) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.7
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 66% of their games since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Diamondbacks vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Clifton Kennedy (Diamondbacks): Wrist, Day-to-Day
- Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob Bukauskas (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): COVID-19, D10
- Dazmon Cameron (Tigers): COVID-19, D10
- Michael Pineda (Tigers): Finger, D15
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D10
- José Cisnero (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
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