- The White Sox are -160 favorites vs the Marlins
- White Sox vs Marlins Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- White Sox / Marlins TV Channel: NSCH | BSFL
The Chicago White Sox (-160) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+135) on Saturday, July 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the White Sox are 26-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 38-50 ATS.
White Sox vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- White Sox starting pitcher: Garrett Crochet 6-6, 3.02 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Yonny Chirinos 0-0, 3.86 ERA
White Sox vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | -1.5 +110 | O 7 -115 | -160 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -135 | U 7 -105 | +135 |
White Sox vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 57.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Paul DeJong has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 23 away games (+29.05 Units / 126% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+10.15 Units / 40% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.15 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 11 games at home (+22.20 Units / 202% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+18.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 38 games (+10.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+9.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 24 games at home (+9.55 Units / 30% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 away games (+7.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 21 away games (+6.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games (+6.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+5.90 Units / 23% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 45 of their last 70 games (+17.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 47 games at home (+16.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 51 of their last 83 games (+13.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 16 games (+2.10 Units / 13% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 42-48 against the Run Line (-10.35 Units / -9.53% ROI).
- 26-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -28.5 Units / -30.98% ROI
- 41-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.6 Units / -8.74% ROI
- 45-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.3 Units / 0.31% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 38-50 against the Run Line (-27.06 Units / -22.98% ROI).
- 30-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.3 Units / -22.73% ROI
- 46-41 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.55 Units / 1.6% ROI
- 41-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.85 Units / -9.16% ROI
Marlins vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Eloy Jimenez (CWS) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Paul DeJong (CWS) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1100 |
Marlins vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eloy Jimenez (CWS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Gavin Sheets (CWS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Nicky Lopez (CWS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Lenyn Sosa (CWS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Marlins vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Gavin Sheets (CWS) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Eloy Jimenez (CWS) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Andrew Benintendi (CWS) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Marlins vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Garrett Crochet (CWS) | 7.5 -140 | 7.5 +105 |
| Yonny Chirinos (MIA) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Garrett Crochet has thrown inside pitches 48% of the time (159/329) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (238/526) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (238/526) with two-strikes this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 41% (67 SO in 162 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a Hard-Hit Rate of 60% (33/55) against Yonny Chirinos on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 0 Percentile.
Yonny Chirinos has a strikeout rate of just 10% (5 SO in 51 PAs) in late innings since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (145/779) against Yonny Chirinos since last season — 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.
Yonny Chirinos has a strikeout rate of just 16% (68 SO in 434 PAs) since last season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: 22% — sixth Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The White Sox are just 9-30 (.231) after a road win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .480.
The White Sox are just 13-12 (.520) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The White Sox are just 70-53 (.569) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The White Sox are just 66-26 (.717) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Marlins are just 9-9 (.500) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .753.
The Marlins are just 9-22 (.290) after a home loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .543.
The Marlins are just 9-21 (.300) after a win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .489.
The Marlins are just 16-9 (.640) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .216 (4,886 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .299 (2,145 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .286 (7,099 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .296 (3,797 PA’s) with runners on base since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .197 (1,635 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .393 (1,635 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .509.
Marlins hitters have chased 34% of pitches out of the zone this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Marlins hitters have a swing rate of 53% this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 13% of the time since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .302 against White Sox pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .258.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 3% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
The Marlins have allowed 5.79 runs per game (272/47) at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Josh Simpson (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Xavier Edwards (Miami Marlins): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Huascar Brazoban (Miami Marlins): Personal, Out
- Victor Mesa (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Edward Cabrera (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- JT Chargois (Miami Marlins): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
- Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL
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