- The Padres are -250 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox vs Padres Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- White Sox / Padres TV Channel: NSCH | PDTV
The Chicago White Sox (+200) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-250) on Friday, September 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the White Sox are 36-117 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 77-76 ATS.
White Sox vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- White Sox starting pitcher: Garrett Crochet 6-12, 3.78 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Joe Musgrove 6-5, 4.26 ERA
White Sox vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -110 | O 7 -115 | +200 |
| Padres | -1.5 -110 | U 7 -105 | -250 |
White Sox vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Friday‘s MLB game with 67.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 18 away games (+23.20 Units / 129% ROI)
- Lenyn Sosa has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+9.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Nicky Lopez has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+8.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- Nicky Lopez has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+6.55 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 43 games (+34.50 Units / 80% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Over in 27 of his last 46 games (+17.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 49 games (+15.75 Units / 29% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 24 games (+15.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 31 of his last 46 games (+12.45 Units / 21% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 31 away games (+10.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 28 away games (+6.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 72 away games (+3.85 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 away games (+3.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.35 Units / 34% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 76 games (+17.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 75 games (+10.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 63 of their last 121 games (+7.47 Units / 5% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games at home (+5.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+3.10 Units / 18% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 62-91 against the Run Line (-36.42 Units / -20.18% ROI).
- 36-117 when betting on the Moneyline for -61.75 Units / -39.8% ROI
- 65-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.25 Units / -12.71% ROI
- 78-65 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.15 Units / 4.33% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 77-76 against the Run Line (+4.37 Units / 2.31% ROI).
- 87-66 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.5 Units / 2.68% ROI
- 81-69 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.55 Units / 3.32% ROI
- 69-81 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.95 Units / -12.35% ROI
Padres vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1200 |
Padres vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Donovan Solano (SD) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Padres vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Donovan Solano (SD) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jurickson Profar (SD) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Padres vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Garrett Crochet (CWS) | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +100 |
| Joe Musgrove (SD) | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -160 |
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 34% (195 SO in 566 PAs) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 38% (99 SO in 258 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 36% (132 SO in 365 PAs) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 40% (48 SO in 119 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joe Musgrove has not allowed a walk in his last 69 PAs against a RHH dating back to August 23rd — Jacob deGrom has the longest active streak at 90.
Joe Musgrove has struck out 42% (13/31) of left-handed batters he faced this month (3 games) — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.
Joe Musgrove has allowed an OBP of just .111 (27 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .275 — 98th Percentile.
Joe Musgrove has a strikeout rate of 48% (13 SO in 27 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — best among among NL Starters; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The White Sox are just 10-48 (.172) after a home loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The White Sox are just 16-59 (.213) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .475.
The White Sox are just 28-22 (.560) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The White Sox are just 11-23 (.324) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .642.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Padres are 17-11 (.607) after a road loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The Padres are 19-29 (.396) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .292.
The Padres are 71-57 (.555) after a road win since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .484.
The Padres are 19-45 (.297) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .197.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 26% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 21% on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .283 (8,748 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 31% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have just 743 strikeouts in 4,225 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres hitters have just 1,008 strikeouts in 5,779 PA’s (17%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres hitters have just 265 strikeouts in 1,554 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Padres are batting .279 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The White Sox have won just 10% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 3% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The White Sox have won just 17% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
White Sox pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH in the 2023 season (3,922 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Padres pitchers this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,922 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .171 against Padres pitchers this month (15 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Padres vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- San Diego Padres – No Injuries Reported
- Chicago White Sox – No Injuries Reported
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