- The Red Sox are -210 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- White Sox / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | CHSN
The Chicago White Sox (+170) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-210) on Friday, April 18, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the White Sox are 4-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 10-10 ATS.
White Sox vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- White Sox starting pitcher: Martin Perez 1-0, 1.59 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Richard Fitts 0-2, 3.18 ERA
White Sox vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -120 | O 9.5 -120 | +170 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +100 | U 9.5 +100 | -210 |
White Sox vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Friday‘s MLB game with 60.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Martin Perez has hit the Earned Runs Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- Brooks Baldwin has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+8.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Brooks Baldwin has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 away games (+8.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.70 Units / 59% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+6.15 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nick Sogard has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 9 games (+9.40 Units / 64% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- Trevor Story has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.35 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nick Sogard has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.70 Units / 59% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.80 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 83 of their last 158 games (+3.40 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 18 games (+1.10 Units / 5% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.55 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games (+4.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.65 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 20 games (+0.35 Units / 1% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 9-9 against the Run Line (-1.75 Units / -7.8% ROI).
- 4-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.3 Units / -46.11% ROI
- 7-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.75 Units / -14.07% ROI
- 9-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.2 Units / 5.99% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 10-10 against the Run Line (+0.35 Units / 1.35% ROI).
- 10-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -11.11% ROI
- 7-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.85 Units / -26.83% ROI
- 12-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.45 Units / 20.05% ROI
Red Sox vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Trevor Story (BOS) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Romy Gonzalez (BOS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Kristian Campbell (BOS) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Rob Refsnyder (BOS) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Red Sox vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lenyn Sosa (CWS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Rob Refsnyder (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Romy Gonzalez (BOS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Trevor Story (BOS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
Red Sox vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Trevor Story (BOS) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Kristian Campbell (BOS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Rob Refsnyder (BOS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Romy Gonzalez (BOS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Red Sox vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Perez (CWS) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -118 |
| Hunter Dobbins (BOS) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Martin Perez allowed a slugging percentage of .699 (79 Total Bases / 113 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .430 — first Percentile.
Martin Perez has walked 7 of 27 batters (26%) versus the top of the order this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 9% — first Percentile.
Opponents batted .381 (43-for-113) against Martin Perez when going through the lineup the third time in a game in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .260 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .358 (44-for-123) against Martin Perez when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: .259 — 0 Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Richard Fitts has a strike rate of 77% (110/143) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 65% of Richard Fitts’ breaking pitches (80/123) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 51% (36/71) against Richard Fitts on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of 65% (93/143) against Richard Fitts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The White Sox are just 28-106 (.209) after a loss since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .504.
The White Sox are just 18-69 (.207) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .469.
The White Sox were just 23-58 (.284) at home in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The White Sox are just 44-114 (.278) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Red Sox are just 5-66 (.070) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .139.
The Red Sox were just 17-33 (.340) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Blue Jays (23rd best runs scored) today.
The Red Sox are just 14-137 (.093) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .140.
The Red Sox were just 5-58 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .282 (9,416 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 31% since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The White Sox had a winning percentage of just 28% at home last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .212 (6,653 PA’s) with two-strikes since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have put just 25% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Red Sox hitters have 548 strikeouts in 1,969 PA’s (28%) against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox hitters are averaging 4.38 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.
Red Sox hitters struck out 506 times in 1,816 PA’s (28%) against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The White Sox won just 11% of games in which their opponents scored first last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
White Sox pitchers walked 643 of 6,241 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The White Sox have won just 17% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 710 of 6,915 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .307 against Red Sox pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 58 of 756 batters (8%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
More MLB Reading:
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