Milwaukee Bucks vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Dec. 19

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 19, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Bucks (21-8) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans (18-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
  • Monday, December 19, 2022 at 8:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSNO & BSWI

The Milwaukee Bucks visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in New Orleans.

The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Bucks vs Pelicans Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 16-11 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 15-14 against the spread.


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Bucks vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks+1.5 -115O 228.5 -110-105
New Orleans Pelicans -1.5 -105U 228.5 -110-115

Pelicans vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Monday‘s game with 52.4% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bucks and Pelicans, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 53 of their last 84 games (+20.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 36 of their last 52 games (+18.40 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 46 games (+14.44 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 46 games (+13.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 58 of their last 88 games (+12.75 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 56 of their last 88 games (+20.33 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 54 of their last 88 games (+16.55 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 48 of their last 79 games (+14.26 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 3Q Spread in 49 of their last 82 games (+12.69 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 61 games (+11.25 Units / 16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 16-11 (+3.9 Units / 12.23% ROI).

  • 21-8 against the Moneyline (+3.75 Units / 4.82% ROI)
  • 13-16 against the Over for game total points (-4.6 Units / -14.42% ROI)
  • 16-13 against the Under for game total points (+1.7 Units / 5.33% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 15-14 (-0.4 Units / -1.26% ROI).

  • 18-11 against the Moneyline (+0.8 Units / 1.32% ROI)
  • 16-13 against the Over for game total points (+1.7 Units / 5.33% ROI)
  • 13-16 against the Under for game total points (-4.6 Units / -14.42% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 88 games (-30.84 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 88 games (-25.50 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 88 games (-23.05 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 43 games at home (-21.95 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 88 games (-19.67 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 76 games (-30.52 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 43 of their last 88 games (-29.15 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 88 games (-26.60 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 85 games (-24.65 Units / -10% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 85 games (-24.05 Units / -25% ROI)

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Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Bucks are 35-11 (.761) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

The Bucks are 35-23 (.603) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505

The Bucks are 48-20 (.706) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Bucks are 52-23 (.693) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Pelicans are 6-14 (.300) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .425

The Pelicans are 11-22 (.333) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Pelicans are 29-53 (.354) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .432

The Pelicans are 18-36 (.333) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

Injury Report: Pelicans vs. BucksMonday‘s Game, Dec. 19

  • E.J. Liddell (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that E.J. Liddell tore his right ACL and will miss most of the season.
  • Larry Nance Jr. (Pelicans): Nance Jr. is doubtful for Monday’s (Dec. 19) game against Milwaukee.
  • Brandon Ingram (Pelicans): Ingram has not played since Nov. 28 and no timetable has been announced for his return.
  • Khris Middleton (Bucks): Middleton is out for Monday’s (Dec. 19) game against New Orleans.
  • Joe Ingles (Bucks): Ingles is targeting a return for Monday’s (Dec. 19) game according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have an eFG% of 52% this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Bucks have averaged 12.8 offensive rebounds per game (154 rebounds/12 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.6

The Bucks have averaged 1.16 points per shot (532 points/460 shots) on the road this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26

The Bucks have averaged 19.8 points in the paint per game (238 points/12 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.8

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have 24.5 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.9

The Pelicans have averaged 11.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,987 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.1

The Pelicans have made 10.2 three-pointers per game this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.1

The Pelicans are shooting 32% from three (496/1,534) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (3,441 rebounds/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Bucks have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (6,165 rebounds/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Bucks have averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (456 rebounds/12 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3

The Bucks have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (405 blocks/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,149 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Pelicans have averaged 8.5 steals per game (111 steals/13 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Pelicans have averaged 8.5 steals per game (417 steals/49 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Pelicans have averaged 8.3 steals per game (789 steals/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.