- The Warriors (34-33) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Bucks (48-18)
- Total (Over/Under): 240.5 points
- Saturday, March 11, 2023 at 8:30pm EST
- Watch the game on ABC & ABC
The Milwaukee Bucks visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in San Francisco.
The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Bucks vs Warriors Over/Under is 240.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 36-26 against the spread, while the Warriors are 31-35 against the spread.
Bet now on Warriors vs Bucks and all NBA games with BetMGM
Bucks vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Milwaukee Bucks | +3.5 -110 | O 240.5 -110 | +135 |
Golden State Warriors | -3.5 -110 | U 240.5 -110 | -160 |
Warriors vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Saturday‘s game with 54.4% confidence.
Warriors vs Bucks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 54.4% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bucks and Warriors, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
Bet now on Warriors vs Bucks and all NBA games with BetMGM
Bucks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 57 of their last 89 games (+21.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 76 games (+18.95 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 38 away games (+17.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 51 of their last 83 games (+16.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 83 games (+15.60 Units / 17% ROI)
Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 34 of their last 49 games at home (+18.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 49 games at home (+14.81 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 72 games (+14.37 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 48 games at home (+14.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 44 of their last 73 games (+13.10 Units / 16% ROI)
Milwaukee Bucks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 36-26 (+7.4 Units / 10.19% ROI).
- 48-18 against the Moneyline (+16.05 Units / 9.45% ROI)
- 31-35 against the Over for game total points (-7.5 Units / -10.33% ROI)
- 35-31 against the Under for game total points (+0.9 Units / 1.24% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 31-35 (-7.5 Units / -10.18% ROI).
- 34-33 against the Moneyline (-27.05 Units / -18.08% ROI)
- 37-29 against the Over for game total points (+5.1 Units / 6.92% ROI)
- 29-37 against the Under for game total points (-11.7 Units / -15.88% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 85 games (-24.76 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 49 games at home (-21.89 Units / -39% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 40 of their last 97 games (-21.85 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 73 games (-20.40 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 34 of their last 74 games (-20.23 Units / -18% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Bucks:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 32 of their last 89 games (-30.80 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 88 games (-29.34 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 46 of their last 93 games (-26.89 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 87 games (-26.09 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 38 away games (-20.80 Units / -50% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Milwaukee Bucks
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Player Injuries for Milwaukee Bucks vs. Golden State Warriors
- Milwaukee Bucks Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Milwaukee Bucks Defensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Milwaukee Bucks are 35-7 (.833) when winning the rebounding margin this season — tied for second-best among NBA teams. The Philadelphia 76ers have averaged 40.5 rebounds per game (2,513 rebounds/62 games) this season — third-lowest among NBA teams.
The Bucks are 22-1 (.957) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .558
The Milwaukee Bucks are 77-15 (.837) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — second-best among NBA teams. The Philadelphia 76ers have averaged 41.5 rebounds per game (5,983 rebounds/144 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — second-lowest among NBA teams.
The Bucks are 42-15 (.737) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks
The Warriors are 1-17 (.056) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .247
The Warriors are 37-20 (.649) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .542
The Warriors are 4-26 (.133) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .221
The Warriors are 9-28 (.243) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .273
Injury Report: Warriors vs. Bucks – Saturday‘s Game, Mar. 11
- Andre Iguodala (Warriors): Iguodala is probable for Saturday’s (Mar.11) game against Milwaukee.
- Andrew Wiggins (Warriors): Wiggins remains without a timetable to return to the Warriors, according to Anthony Slater of The Athletic.
- Klay Thompson (Warriors): Thompson is probable for Saturday’s (Mar.11) game against Milwaukee.
- Ryan Rollins (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Rollins has a Jones fracture in his right foot and will undergo surgery.
- Jonathan Kuminga (Warriors): Kuminga is out for Saturday’s (Mar.11) game against Milwaukee.
- Gary Payton II (Warriors): Warriors GM Bob Myers said Payton II will be re-evaluated in a month.
- Goran Dragic (Bucks): Dragic is probable for Saturday’s (Mar.11) game against Golden State.
- Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks): Antetokounmpo is questionable for Saturday’s (Mar.11) game against Golden State.
- Wesley Matthews (Bucks): Matthews hasn’t played since Feb. 16 against Chicago and remains without a timetable to return.
Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks have averaged 8.4 second chance points per game (522 points/62 games) in the first half this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7
The Bucks have averaged 43.4 points in the paint per game (1,302 points/30 games) on the road this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
The Bucks shot 39% from three (1,038/2,669) in the 2020-21 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%
The Bucks have averaged 117.0 points per game (25,268 points/216 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 112.1
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have 20.2 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.7
The Warriors have averaged 14.2 assists per game (849 assists/60 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.9
The Warriors have averaged 30.5 assists per game (944 assists/31 games) at home this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.4
The Warriors have made 16.6 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3
Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks have averaged 37.3 defensive rebounds per game (8,056 rebounds/216 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9
The Bucks have averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (5,332 rebounds/144 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.6
The Bucks have averaged 37.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,342 rebounds/62 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0
The Bucks have averaged 6.5 steals per game (405 steals/62 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 34.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,063 rebounds/60 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.1
The Warriors have averaged 35.2 defensive rebounds per game (4,993 rebounds/142 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.7
The Warriors have averaged 8.1 steals per game (1,724 steals/214 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Warriors have 1,143 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th most among NBA teams
Bet now on Warriors vs Bucks and all NBA games with BetMGM
Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
