Bucks vs Wizards Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 04, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Bucks are -13.5 favorites vs. the Wizards
  • Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
  • Tuesday, April 4, 2023 at 7:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on NBCS-DC & BSWI

The Milwaukee Bucks visit Capital One Arena to take on the Washington Wizards on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Washington.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).

The Bucks vs Wizards Over/Under is 230.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 42-31 against the spread, while the Wizards are 36-39 against the spread.


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Bucks vs. Wizards Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks-13.5 -110O 230.5 -110-900
Washington Wizards +13.5 -110U 230.5 -110+575

Wizards vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Tuesday‘s game with 72.0% confidence.

Wizards vs Bucks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Wizards will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 53.6% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bucks and Wizards, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 55 of their last 88 games (+18.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 56 of their last 94 games (+17.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Moneyline in 62 of their last 88 games (+16.20 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 55 of their last 90 games (+16.02 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 48 away games (+14.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 55 of their last 82 games (+25.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 31 games at home (+14.90 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 49 games (+14.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 61 games (+12.49 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 1Q Spread in 21 of their last 31 games at home (+9.95 Units / 29% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 42-31 (+7.9 Units / 9.21% ROI).

  • 56-22 against the Moneyline (+13.3 Units / 5.82% ROI)
  • 38-40 against the Over for game total points (-6 Units / -6.99% ROI)
  • 40-38 against the Under for game total points (-1.8 Units / -2.1% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 36-39 (-6.9 Units / -8.05% ROI).

  • 34-44 against the Moneyline (-0.8 Units / -0.73% ROI)
  • 37-39 against the Over for game total points (-5.9 Units / -6.88% ROI)
  • 39-37 against the Under for game total points (-1.7 Units / -1.98% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 82 games (-33.00 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 61 games (-21.40 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 4Q Spread in 19 of their last 54 games (-18.74 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 76 games (-18.40 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 54 games (-18.36 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 92 games (-29.50 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 94 games (-28.13 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 36 of their last 94 games (-27.90 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 40 of their last 80 games (-22.23 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 71 games (-21.55 Units / -28% ROI)

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Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Bucks are 51-8 (.864) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564

The Bucks are 42-15 (.737) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

The Bucks are 44-16 (.733) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Bucks are 70-6 (.921) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .774

Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Wizards are 4-29 (.121) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .311

The Wizards are 24-24 (.500) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Wizards are 13-22 (.371) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Wizards are 8-12 (.400) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .469

Injury Report: Wizards vs. BucksTuesday‘s Game, Apr. 4

  • Bradley Beal (Wizards): Beal is out for Tuesday’s (Apr. 4) game against Milwaukee.
  • Kristaps Porzingis (Wizards): Porzingis is out for Tuesday’s (Apr. 4) game against Milwaukee.
  • Kyle Kuzma (Wizards): Kuzma is out for Tuesday’s (Apr. 4) game against Milwaukee.
  • Monte Morris (Wizards): Morris is out for Tuesday’s (Apr. 4) game against Milwaukee.
  • Jevon Carter (Bucks): Carter is probable for Tuesday’s (Apr. 4) game against Washington.
  • Meyers Leonard (Bucks): Leonard is probable for Tuesday’s (Apr. 4) game against Washington.
  • Khris Middleton (Bucks): Middleton is out for Tuesday’s (Apr. 4) game against Washington.
  • Grayson Allen (Bucks): Allen is out for Tuesday’s (Apr. 4) game against Washington.

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks are shooting 43% from three (144/338) in the last two weeks — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Bucks have averaged 57.8 points per game (12,827 points/222 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55.0

The Bucks have made 14.9 three-pointers per game this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Bucks have made 14.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.4

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards averaged 116.6 points per game (8,398 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

The Wizards have averaged 9.4 fast break points per game (687 points/73 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Wizards have averaged 10.3 fast break points per game (329 points/32 games) at home this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Wizards have made 11.3 three-pointers per game this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 39.3 defensive rebounds per game (8,716 rebounds/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0

The Bucks have averaged 39.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,705 rebounds/68 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 39.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,866 rebounds/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.8

The Bucks have averaged 4.5 blocks per game (998 blocks/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have averaged 6.6 steals per game (990 steals/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Wizards have averaged 5.1 blocks per game (758 blocks/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Wizards have averaged 6.5 steals per game (474 steals/73 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Wizards have averaged 4.8 blocks per game (538 blocks/113 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.