Bulls vs Heat Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 14

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 14, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Heat (44-38) are -5.5 favorites vs. the Bulls (40-42)
  • Total (Over/Under): 208.5 points
  • Friday, April 14, 2023 at 7:00pm EDT
  • Watch the 8th Seed Play-In game on TNT

The Chicago Bulls visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Miami.

The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA playoff matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The Bulls vs Heat Over/Under is 208.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bulls are 41-40 against the spread, while the Heat are 31-50 against the spread.


Bet now on Heat vs Bulls and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bulls vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Chicago Bulls+5.5 -115O 208.5 -115+165
Miami Heat -5.5 -105U 208.5 -115-200

Heat vs Bulls Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Heat will win Friday‘s game with 61.9% confidence.

Heat vs Bulls Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bulls will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bulls and Heat, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


Bet now on Heat vs Bulls and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 30 away games (+15.40 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 54 of their last 88 games (+15.26 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 46 of their last 76 games (+14.05 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 26 away games (+13.76 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 away games (+12.65 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 46 games at home (+17.60 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 46 games at home (+14.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 4Q Spread in 51 of their last 85 games (+12.87 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 57 of their last 98 games (+10.80 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 84 games (+9.37 Units / 10% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bulls have gone 41-40 (-3.1 Units / -3.39% ROI).

  • 41-42 against the Moneyline (+2.25 Units / 1.8% ROI)
  • 38-45 against the Over for game total points (-11.5 Units / -12.6% ROI)
  • 45-38 against the Under for game total points (+3.2 Units / 3.5% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 31-50 (-24 Units / -26.27% ROI).

  • 44-39 against the Moneyline (-18.05 Units / -11.11% ROI)
  • 40-42 against the Over for game total points (-6.2 Units / -6.79% ROI)
  • 42-40 against the Under for game total points (-2 Units / -2.19% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the Spread in 33 of their last 89 games (-26.40 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 99 games (-23.45 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 98 games (-23.20 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 48 games at home (-22.05 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 1H Spread in 42 of their last 100 games (-20.85 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 88 games (-26.21 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 76 games (-21.75 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 30 away games (-18.30 Units / -55% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 88 games (-17.00 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only covered the 1H Spread in 38 of their last 88 games (-15.05 Units / -15% ROI)

Jump to:

Chicago Bulls: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Bulls are 15-31 (.326) when allowing 110 or more points this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .355

The Bulls are 31-28 (.525) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Bulls are 4-39 (.093) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .162

The Bulls are 3-27 (.100) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .166

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bulls

The Heat are 64-26 (.711) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .565

The Heat are 41-17 (.707) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .538

The Heat are 12-8 (.600) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Heat are 53-32 (.624) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

Injury Report: Heat vs. BullsFriday‘s Game, Apr. 14

  • Nikola Jovic (Heat): Jovic hasn’t played since Dec. 26 against Minnesota and remains without a timetable to return.
  • Lonzo Ball (Bulls): The Bulls are expected to shut Ball down for the rest of the season, according to Shams Charnia of The Athletic.

Chicago Bulls Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls have averaged 4.9 second chance points per game (400 points/82 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Bulls have averaged 13.0 offensive rebounds per game (1,064 rebounds/82 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.3

The Bulls have averaged 10.8 second chance points per game (1,775 points/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

The Bulls have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.8 (174 assists/ 63 TOs) in the last two weeks — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 108.1 points per game (7,781 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

The Heat have averaged 52.5 points per game (4,308 points/82 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Heat have averaged 109.5 points per game (8,977 points/82 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Heat have averaged 1.28 points per shot (8,977 points/6,991 shots) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

Chicago Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls have averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,958 rebounds/82 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bulls have averaged 7.1 steals per game (841 steals/118 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Bulls have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (348 blocks/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Bulls have averaged 7.9 steals per game (644 steals/82 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 3.0 blocks per game (243 blocks/82 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Heat have averaged 3.3 blocks per game (394 blocks/118 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (508 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Heat have averaged 3.0 blocks per game (249 blocks/82 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8


Bet now on Heat vs Bulls and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.